In Historic Shift, Jewish Support Plotzes On Bush

U.S. Senator Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania could hardly contain his delight as he addressed a packed ballroom at the Plaza Hotel on Monday evening. “Just know I love you!” the senator, a Catholic, shouted to the largely Jewish crowd at the Republican Jewish Coalition’s Salute to the Republican Congress.

After kvelling about how thrilled he was to have been introduced before Senator Arlen Specter-his Jewish colleague from the Keystone State-Mr. Santorum commanded the crowd to go back home and sing the gospel of George W. Bush. After all, it could help in swing states like his. “I will not be satisfied with 20 percent of the Jewish vote, I will not be satisfied with 30 percent, I will not be satisfied with 40 percent!” he said as the crowd cheered. “George Bush deserves a majority!” At this, the crowd began to chant, “Four more years! Four more years!”

Mr. Santorum was part of a round robin of Republican lawmakers who are love-bombing Jewish audiences this week with testimonials about the courage of freedom-loving Jewish people. It’s a far cry from the “some of my best friends are Jews” tone struck by some Republicans of yesteryear, and even from the tepid meet-and-greets with Jewish groups at the 2000 G.O.P. convention in Philadelphia. This year, Republicans are going all out to welcome their Jewish brethren into the G.O.P. fold in a city with a large Jewish population. It’s not just about votes. American Jews find themselves at the center of a new culture war, the one between secular and religious America, between the blue states and the red ones and the hawks and the doves. And the Republicans want them on their side.

House Majority Leader Tom DeLay of Texas stated it most clearly. “There is no Palestinian-Israeli conflict, there is only the global war on terrorism,” Mr. DeLay said at the Plaza on Monday. “On one side stands the United States, Israel and dozens of [other] countries. On the other side stand Yasir Arafat, Al Qaeda and an Axis of Evil bent on the destruction of Israel. All the rest is a question of commentary.” Mr. DeLay had thrown down the gauntlet, and the crowd of 1,500 began to cheer. John Kerry, Mr. DeLay continued, thinks the war on terror “depends on France and Germany. George W. Bush thinks the war on terror depends on fearless American leadership. That’s the difference that defines them.”

A day earlier, former Mayor Rudolph Giuliani and Bush campaign manager Ken Mehlman struck a similar note at an event at Chelsea Piers sponsored by three Jewish groups. Their message was that a vote for Mr. Bush is a vote for moral clarity; multilateralism is just a fancy word for appeasement. Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist of Tennessee, like Mr. Giuliani a possible presidential candidate in 2008, also spoke at the event. Vice President Cheney is expected to headline a Republican Jewish Coalition event in Midtown on the convention’s closing night, Thursday.

At every step, the Republicans message was clear: New York and Jerusalem are closer than you think. When Al Qaeda attacked the World Trade Center, America became even more inextricably linked with Israel. The Bush campaign has given the Jews a leading role in the central narrative of the 2004 campaign.

It’s a unique position for a traditionally Democratic constituency. But there’s some logic to it. Since Sept. 11, beleaguered Israel has become a symbol for the U.S. war on terrorism, with the Israelis standing in proxy for the Americans and the Palestinians wearing the face of the whole Arab world. As such, Israel has become a kind of G.O.P. mascot, one that also plays into Mr. Bush’s own religiosity. Israel resonates both in the Bible Belt and right here in, well, Hymietown.

The Republican efforts may be working. As she made her way to the Jewish event on Sunday, Susan Canter, a registered Democrat who lives on the Upper West Side, explained why she was backing Mr. Bush after having voted for Al Gore in 2000. “He’s just so pro-Israel,” said Ms. Canter, a lawyer at Project Renewal, a social service organization that assists the homeless. “There’s been no American president who’s ever come with such strong support for Israel …. I can’t think of not voting for him.”

And of course there’s former Mayor Ed Koch, who has emerged as one of New York’s most vocal pro-Bush Democrats. “He knows that Israel faces international terrorism every day, and so do we, and that they are not willing to submit as other countries are, and he’s not going to run out on them,” Mr. Koch said. “And it happens that international terrorism is threatening to both the United States and Israel. I mean, what they want to do is kill us!”

Mr. Koch seems to speak for those who are voting for a commander in chief as much as a president. Indeed, the Bush campaign seems to be taking pains to draw a direct line from Ronald Reagan, the man who toppled the Soviet Union, to George W. Bush, leader in the war on terror. The narrative conveniently skips Mr. Bush’s father, former President George H. W. Bush, who was seen as no friend of Israel during his term from 1988 to 1992. In his failed re-election bid, the elder Mr. Bush received only 11 percent of the Jewish vote in 1992. “Twenty years ago, Ronald Reagan spoke with moral clarity of the nature of the Soviet Union and it had big time political consequences,” Mr. Mehlman said at the Jewish community event on Aug. 29. In a five-minute speech, Mr. Mehlman used the term “moral clarity” at least four times.

But even if they’re backing Mr. Bush on foreign policy, some Jews are concerned about the evangelical Christian right’s sway with the Bush Administration. They did not take kindly to the display at Madison Square Garden during the convention’s first night, when the light and dark wood paneling on the speakers’ lectern took on the unmistakable form of a cross. The National Jewish Democratic Coalition issued a press release the following day, calling it ” the very height of insensitivity” for the Republicans to feature a cross at the center of the podium. “This wooden cross must be at least three feet tall, and it sends a signal of exclusivity loudly and clearly,” said the organization’s executive director, Ira Forman.

Others see no threat. “They still think I’m going to hell because I have not accepted Jeeesus Chrast as mah per-son-al sa-vior,” Jonathan Paull from Houston said, adopting a Texas drawl not otherwise evident in his speech as he mingled at the Jewish community event on Sunday. “I don’t care,” the young attorney said. He said he was voting for Mr. Bush because of “a political reality.”

Still in New York, where progressive passions have long run high in the Jewish community, there is a core of Jewish voters that remains steadfastly anti-Bush. These Jews don’t cheer when Republicans invoke the mantra of Jewish persecution, and they don’t clap when U.S. Senator John Cornyn of Texas said, as he did at the Plaza on Monday, that, “there is nothing they [the terrorists] want but your death and entire elimination from the planet.” Instead, they’ve been protesting. Standing outside the Plaza, a group called Jews for Racial and Economic Justice waved signs saying “elephants are not kosher” and chanted angry slogans peppered with Yiddishisms. “No war in our name, it’s a shanda , it’s a shame,” they recited over and over.

Democratic Bind

As the election nears, Democratic Jewish leaders know they’re in a bind about foreign policy, and have been trying to shift the debate away from Israel to trigger-issues like abortion, education and the separation of church and state. “I think it is a mistake to go after George Bush on Israel because the Jewish community thinks he has been very good on Israel,” said U.S. Senator Charles Schumer. “So here’s what I tell Jewish voters: George Bush is good on Israel, but why vote for someone who you disagree with on everything else? Why let your loyalties to Israel be split from your loyalties on other issues?”

Mr. Schumer’s message could help stem some Jewish drift toward the G.O.P., but it’s hard not to see it as a concession of sorts, an admission by the Democrats that the Republicans have defined the terms of the debate so effectively that it’s not even worth competing on the same rhetorical battlefield.

This shift would have seemed improbable, almost farcical, four years ago when Al Gore tapped Senator Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut as his running mate. Mr. Lieberman became the first Jew to run on a major party’s national ticket. For some Jewish Democrats, Mr. Lieberman’s nomination was the culmination of its long relationship with the party-particularly since the Republicans had chosen as their candidate the son of a president who was unpopular with the Jews, and who also happened to be a cowboy and an evangelical Christian, who they feared would blur the boundaries between church and state. It may just be a kind of provincial ignorance, but in the Jewish heartland of New York City, let’s face it, neither of these images played terribly well.

But in the intervening years, some of these same Jews have changed their minds. While few Jewish voters feel much passion for Mr. Kerry-even if they are planning on voting for him-New York’s “Jews for Bush” speak about their candidate with an almost religious fervor. It’s the kind of passion that gets them chanting “four more years, four more years!” at rallies, and makes this strange new marriage between New York sophisticates and a Texas cowboy seem almost beshert .

All this may seem like an awful lot of work to win just 4 percent of the voting public. But in today’s frozen political landscape, in which the electorate has hardened into blocks of stubborn Republicans and stubborn Democrats, the support of a well-placed fraction of the Jewish community can ripple and multiply into influence. In states like Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, where the election will be close, every vote counts.

“If you look at the states that are close, the change in the Jewish vote could actually throw the election into Republican hands,” said Fred Zeidman, the chairman of the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Council and a prominent Texas fund-raiser who has been working with the Bush campaign on Jewish outreach. “So obviously we are focusing on the Jewish vote in states that could change the election.”

Since 2000, the Republican Jewish Coalition has opened branches in Florida, Southern California, Philadelphia and New York, and is looking to start a Midwest regional office. Its membership has swelled to 12,000 from 2,500. It’s also focusing on younger Jewish voters, who may be less tied to party affiliations than their New Deal Democrat grandparents and civil-rights era parents, said Greg Menken, 31, who directs the year-old New York chapter of the Republican Jewish Coalition.

Yet even as this week’s Republican Jewish events celebrate Jewish strength in the face of adversity, a strange kind of energy also courses through the crowd. Whenever a speaker says words to the effect that “the very existence of the state of Israel is now under siege,” the audience applauds. Of course, they’re applauding because they agree with the speaker, not because they’re happy about the current state of affairs. Yet at the same time, these Jews seem to show a certain pride, a sense of vindication that the Republicans are beginning to see how ugly things can get. Who knows how it’ll play. What’s bad for the Jews might turn out to be good for Mr. Bush.