Crunching the Numbers in Virginia. Recount?

About 7 percent of Virginia’s precincts remain outstanding, with George Allen holding onto a lead of about 17,000 votes over Jim Webb, his Democratic challenger. So where are the uncounted ballots from? The answer is mainly from Prince William and Loudoun Counties in northern Virginia and the city of Richmond. Webb figures to gain some ground when these votes are added up. But a look at the partial returns from Prince William and Loudoun suggests he won’t gain many in those counties– he’s only running very slightly ahead of Allen in them now. Richmond is a Webb stronghold, but the 13 uncounted precincts there will not erase much of overall deficit.

— Steve Kornacki