Certainly, Mr. Giuliani’s schedule seems to bear that notion out. On Oct. 1, he campaigned in New Jersey and Pennsylvania. On Oct. 3, he had one busy day in New Hampshire, with five campaign events, but then he left to build support in traditionally irrelevant primary states. On Oct. 4, he campaigned in Missouri and Illinois. On Oct. 5 he gave a speech about taxes in Washington, D.C., assailing Mrs. Clinton, and on Oct. 6 he campaigned in Florida. On Oct. 8, as Mr. Giuliani dropped off the radar, his campaign announced the endorsement of Ms. Charbonneau.
And by the admission of one of his key supporters, Mr. Giuliani is hedging his bets against a disappointing showing in New Hampshire. “Running a national primary might be the most sensible strategy, because it gives you a margin of error,” said Barry Wynn, chairman of the Giuliani campaign in the key primary state of South Carolina.
Jennifer Donahue, a senior adviser at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics, a research institute at St. Anselm College, said that Mr. Giuliani’s spread-out campaign schedule was risky.
“I am wondering why Giuliani is not doing the obvious safe move, which would be to secure the base in New Hampshire, to try to take some from Romney because there is an apparent opening for that,” she said. “Instead what we are seeing is Romney try to come in and take some from Giuliani. Romney wants to win this state. Giuliani seems to think he can win the nomination without winning New Hampshire.”
“Giuliani is doing a fly-through campaign,” Ms. Donahue added. “That is not New Hampshire retail politics. You don’t get a base in New Hampshire with fly-throughs.”
And while he’s not there, Mr. Romney has taken every opportunity to chip away Mr. Giuliani’s support. At a forum in Goffstown on Thursday, Mr. Romney brought up New York’s commuter tax, saying, “Could you imagine what would have happened up here in New Hampshire if I, as governor of Massachusetts, said that anybody who commutes to Massachusetts is going to have to pay an extra special tax as a commuter?”
Mr. Romney also painted Mr. Giuliani as a profligate spender of public money.
“He killed the line-item veto,” added Mr. Romney. “It is the single most important tool we have to stop excessive spending, and that was a serious mistake.”
On Oct. 8, the Romney campaign also sent out its first piece of mail in New Hampshire—about Mr. Romney’s fiscal conservatism—as part of what the campaign said was a total of nearly $2 million in advertising there so far.
But Mr. Giuliani’s supporters have seemed unconcerned about Mr. Romney recent efforts, almost to the point of smugness. Mr. King, the congressman, said that Mr. Romney’s attacks were simply a sign of panic. And he urged Mr. Giuliani not to deviate from the plan.
“Whatever they are doing is working,” he said.