New Yorkers Like Bloomberg for Governor

010908 mikeeliot web New Yorkers Like Bloomberg for GovernorAfter yesterday’s polling fiasco in New Hampshire comes this Quinnipiac poll saying New Yorkers think Michael Bloomberg would be a good president, or governor, contradicting the results of a Marist poll released Monday.

According to the poll, 52 percent of New Yorkers like the mayor for president, and 70 percent for governor.

Full results:

 

BLOOMBERG WOULD MAKE GOOD PRESIDENT OR GOVERNOR,
NEW YORK CITY VOTERS TELL QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL;
MOST SAY HE’LL RUN FOR PRESIDENT

By a 52 – 39 percent margin, New York City voters say Mayor Michael Bloomberg would make a good President, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
By an even larger 70 – 26 percent, voters say Mayor Bloomberg would make a good Governor, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Even Democrats say 51 – 41 percent that Bloomberg would make a good President and 68 – 28 percent that he would make a good Governor.
Given a choice, 47 percent of New York City voters would like Bloomberg to run for Governor, while 16 percent would like him to run for President and 32 percent say “neither.”
Speculation that Bloomberg will run for President is good for the city, voters say 47 – 32 percent. A total of 51 percent of voters say it is “very likely” or “somewhat likely” he will run for President, while 45 percent say it is “not too likely” or “not likely at all.”
A total of 34 percent of New York City voters say they “definitely” or “probably” would vote for Bloomberg if he ran for President as an independent candidate, with 58 percent saying “probably not” or “definitely not.”
“His New York neighbors think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good President. In far larger numbers, they think he’d make a good Governor,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “So watch out, Gov. Spitzer.”
“Almost half of them would like Bloomberg to aim for Albany instead of the White House. Historical note: A couple of 20th Century New York governors have become President. No New York City mayor has.”
-more-

Quinnipiac University Poll/January 9, 2008 – page 2
“Will he or won’t he run for President? He will, say most New Yorkers. Will you or won’t you vote for him? We won’t, say most New Yorkers. Remember, though, we’re a Democratic town,” Carroll said.
New York City voters approve 73 – 20 percent of the job Bloomberg is doing as Mayor, compared to 71 – 21 percent in a November 19, 2007 Quinnipiac University poll. Approval is consistent among Democrats, Republicans and independents, and among black and white voters, dropping to 59 – 31 percent among Hispanic voters.
Bloomberg has a “moral obligation” to serve out his full four-year term as Mayor, voters say 61 – 36 percent.
“New Yorkers to Mayor Mike: We elected you for a four-year second term and you have an obligation to serve the whole four years,” Carroll said.
New York City voters approve 60 – 23 percent of the job Police Commissioner Ray Kelly is doing, up from 55 – 30 percent November 19. Republican voters approve 78 – 11 percent, while Democrats approve 55 – 28 percent and independent voters approve 65 – 18 percent; white voters approve 73 – 12 percent, while black voters approve 45 – 39 percent and Hispanic voters approve 55 – 28 percent.
Approval ratings for other New York City leaders are:
• 40 – 37 percent for Schools Chancellor Joel Klein, with 24 percent undecided;
• 44 – 18 percent for Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum, with 38 percent undecided;
• 48 – 14 percent for Comptroller Thompson, with 38 percent undecided;
• 48 – 14 percent for Council Speaker Christine Quinn, with 38 percent undecided.
“Three potential mayoral candidates – Public Advocate Betsy Gotbaum, Comptroller William Thompson and Council Speaker Christine Quinn – get positive ratings, but more than a third of New Yorkers don’t know much about them. A fourth, Police Commissioner Ray Kelly, gets good marks – as a cop, not necessarily as a candidate,” Carroll said.
From January 3 – 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,162 New York City registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research.
For more data — http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Approve 73% 77% 72% 76% 78% 78% 59%
Disapprove 20 19 21 17 18 13 31
DK/NA 7 4 7 7 5 8 11

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 67% 71% 78% 78% 63% 78% 69%
Disapprove 25 21 16 16 30 16 23
DK/NA 8 8 6 6 7 6 8

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? (* also 75% on 11/17/2005)
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jan 9 Nov 19 Aug 29 Jul 25 May 23 Jan 16 Jul 2
2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007* 2003

Approve 73 71 70 73 74 75 31
Disapprove 20 21 21 19 19 16 60
DK/NA 7 8 10 8 7 9 8

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Approve 60% 78% 55% 65% 73% 45% 55%
Disapprove 23 11 28 18 12 39 28
DK/NA 16 11 17 16 15 16 17

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 50% 56% 64% 65% 71% 66% 56%
Disapprove 31 29 17 19 17 22 25
DK/NA 19 15 18 15 12 12 19

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ray Kelly is handling his job as Police Commissioner? (* also 70% on 2/3/06)
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jan 9 Nov 19 Aug 29 Jul 25 May 23 Mar 9 Jan 16
2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 2006 * 2007

Approve 60 55 62 64 58 70 52
Disapprove 23 30 25 26 27 17 34
DK/NA 16 16 13 11 14 13 14

3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joel Klein is handling his job as New
York City Schools Chancellor?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Approve 40% 39% 40% 41% 39% 38% 43%
Disapprove 37 31 39 36 32 46 37
DK/NA 24 30 21 23 29 16 19

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 36% 38% 45% 38% 42% 45% 35%
Disapprove 43 39 26 39 40 34 39
DK/NA 21 22 29 23 18 21 26

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joel Klein is handling his job as New York City Schools Chancellor?
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jan 9 Nov 21 Aug 29 Jul 26 May 23 Feb 26 Mar 15
2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 2003 2007

Approve 40 44 39 41 37 46 33
Disapprove 37 36 37 39 39 27 43
DK/NA 24 20 23 20 23 28 24

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Approve 44% 39% 50% 36% 42% 53% 44%
Disapprove 18 24 15 19 16 17 18
DK/NA 38 37 35 45 42 30 38

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 44% 41% 44% 48% 43% 37% 50%
Disapprove 18 19 12 19 26 21 15
DK/NA 38 40 44 33 31 42 35

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Betsy Gotbaum is handling her job as Public Advocate?
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jan 9 Nov 19 Aug 29 Jul 25 May 23 Jan 9 Feb 26
2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2003

Approve 44 40 39 40 42 44 34
Disapprove 18 19 18 17 15 18 17
DK/NA 38 40 43 43 44 38 49

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Approve 48% 44% 51% 45% 52% 46% 43%
Disapprove 14 19 12 17 10 20 19
DK/NA 38 37 37 38 38 33 38

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 41% 48% 50% 50% 51% 48% 49%
Disapprove 20 15 11 12 18 16 13
DK/NA 38 37 39 38 31 37 38

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Christine Quinn is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jan 9 Nov 19 Aug 29 Jul 25 May 23 Mar 14 Aug 29
2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007 2007

Approve 48 46 44 45 47 51 44
Disapprove 14 16 16 15 13 12 16
DK/NA 38 37 40 40 40 37 40

6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his job as City Comptroller?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Approve 48% 51% 49% 48% 44% 59% 47%
Disapprove 14 14 14 11 9 20 17
DK/NA 38 35 37 41 47 21 36

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 45% 53% 37% 51% 60% 52% 44%
Disapprove 19 14 11 14 15 16 13
DK/NA 36 33 52 35 25 32 42

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way William Thompson is handling his
job as City Comptroller?
Highest Lowest
Approve Approve
Jan 9 Nov 19 Aug 29 Jul 25 May 23 Jan 9 Feb 26
2008 2007 2007 2007 2007 2008 2003

Approve 48 45 41 43 46 48 35
Disapprove 14 15 12 12 12 14 13
DK/NA 38 41 47 45 42 38 52

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the city council is handling its job?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Approve 46% 48% 49% 41% 47% 46% 46%
Disapprove 31 33 27 36 27 34 35
DK/NA 23 19 24 22 25 19 19

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Approve 42% 44% 49% 47% 46% 49% 43%
Disapprove 32 36 24 29 41 34 29
DK/NA 26 20 26 23 13 17 28

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the city council is handling its job?

Jan 9 Nov 19 Aug 29 Jul 25
2008 2007 2007 2007

Approve 46 45 44 48
Disapprove 31 32 32 32
DK/NA 23 23 25 20

8. There has been a lot of talk about the possibility that Mayor Bloomberg might run
for President. How likely do you think it is that he will run for President?
Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Very likely 15% 14% 16% 15% 10% 15% 29%
Smwht likely 36 31 38 39 42 35 28
Not too likely 26 33 25 26 31 20 26
Not likely at all 19 18 20 17 13 27 16
DK/NA 3 4 2 3 4 3 1

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Very likely 20% 11% 15% 17% 22% 15% 16%
Smwht likely 28 38 36 40 36 36 37
Not too likely 25 27 31 23 23
26 27
Not likely at all 24 21 14 17 14 20 18
DK/NA 3 3 3 3 4 3 3

TREND: There has been a lot of talk about the possibility that Mayor Bloomberg might
run for President. How likely do you think it is that he will run for President?
Very likely, somewhat likely, not too likely, or not likely at all?

Jan 9 Jul 25 May 23 Nov 14 Jul 12
2008 2007 2007 2006 2006

Very likely 15 16 11 10 11
Smwht likely 36 40 35 29 25
Not too likely 26 26 29 32 35
Not likely at all 19 15 21 26 27
DK/NA 3 3 3 4 2

9. If Mayor Bloomberg ran for President as an independent, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Would you definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Definitely 11% 14% 11% 13% 13% 7% 12%
Probably 23 26 21 31 24 23 22
Probably not 23 19 25 20 24 24 19
Definitely not 35 34 38 27 30 41 44
DK/NA 7 8 5 9 9 5 2

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Definitely 10% 12% 11% 14% 6% 12% 11%
Probably 17 23 19 29 29 25 22
Probably not 23 23 30 18 17 22 24
Definitely not 44 36 34 30 40 34 37
DK/NA 6 6 7 8 8 7 7

TREND: If Mayor Bloomberg ran for President as an independent, how likely is it that you would vote for him? Would you definitely vote for him, probably vote for him, probably not vote for him, or definitely not vote for him?

Jan 9 Jul 25 Nov 14
2008 2007 2006

Definitely 11 12 10
Probably 23 22 25
Probably not 23 26 25
Definitely not 35 31 31
DK/NA 7 9 8

10. Do you think that the speculation about Michael Bloomberg possibly running for President in 2008 is good or bad for New York City?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Good 47% 56% 45% 51% 52% 45% 41%
Bad 32 28 35 26 26 37 39
DK/NA 21 15 20 23 22 18 20

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Good 35% 55% 47% 46% 42% 51% 44%
Bad 43 26 28 32 44 30 34
DK/NA 22 19 25 22 14 19 23

TREND: Do you think that the speculation about Michael Bloomberg possibly running
for President in 2008 is good or bad for New York City?

Jan 9 Jul 25
2008 2007

Good for NYC 47 53
Bad for NYC 32 26
DK/NA 21 21

11. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good President or not?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Yes 52% 55% 51% 54% 58% 47% 41%
No 39 41 41 31 33 41 51
DK/NA 9 4 8 16 8 11 8

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Yes 45% 50% 54% 57% 46% 56% 48%
No 49 40 33 36 46 37 40
DK/NA 6 10 13 7 9 7 12

12. Do you think Mayor Bloomberg would make a good Governor or not?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Yes 70% 76% 68% 77% 76% 71% 59%
No 26 21 28 19 19 25 39
DK/NA 4 3 4 4 5 4 3

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Yes 66% 67% 74% 76% 63% 73% 68%
No 31 28 21 21 36 23 28
DK/NA 3 5 4 3 2 4 4

13. Would you rather see Michael Bloomberg run for President or Governor, or neither?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

President 16% 23% 14% 17% 18% 12% 15%
Governor 47 49 47 54 49 50 46
Neither 32 24 35 23 27 34 37
DK/NA 5 4 4 6 6 4 2

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

President 11% 15% 17% 16% 23% 19% 12%
Governor 47 45 49 53 36 48 47
Neither 40 34 30 25 39 29 35
DK/NA 2 7 5 6 1 4 6

14. Do you think that Mayor Bloomberg has a moral obligation to serve out his full 4 year term as Mayor?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk Hisp

Yes 61% 57% 65% 52% 50% 72% 73%
No 36 39 31 44 46 25 24
DK/NA 4 4 3 3 4 3 3

Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men Wom

Yes 71% 61% 49% 64% 64% 55% 66%
No 25 35 47 32 34 43 29
DK/NA 4 4 4 4 1 2 5