ABC News just called Pennsylvania for Barack Obama. If the projection hold, it should mean that Obama has a hold on all of the states that John Kerry won in 2004, for a total of 252 electoral votes. Add to that Iowa, a Bush ’04 state that Obama has led by double digits for months, and he has a very firm grip on 259 electoral votes. That means that a win in just one sizable Republican state–like Indiana or Virginia or North Carolina–should put him past 270.

Follow Steve Kornacki via RSS.