A special election to replace John McHugh, a nine-term incumbent who has been nominated to be secretary of the Army, is expected this fall. Republicans last week settled on Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava, a relatively liberal member of the party, as their candidate.
Democrats have not yet made their pick, but labeled the seat a "good news, bad news" district earlier this year. Other upstate districts that have been recently won by Democrats—including the 20th, 29th, and 24th—now "lean Democratic," according to the CQ map.
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