Poll: Obama runs away with NJ

A Democratic polling firm has released the results of a poll that says President Barack Obama would wipe the floor with Gov. Christie in Christie’s home state were the presidential election held today.

The poll, from the North Carolina-based Public Policy Polling has Obama winning New Jersey over Christie by 17 points, the same lead the president holds over potential Republican candidates Mike Huckabee and Newt Gingrich.

Republican Mitt Romney fares the best against the president in the Garden State, trailing by 15 points, while Tea Party favorite Sarah Palin trails by a whopping 30 points in the hypothetical contest.

According to the poll, Christie’s approval rating in New Jersey stands at 48 percent versus 45 percent who disapprove of his performance.  The poll says 23 percent of Democrats approve of the job Christie is doing in New Jersey, but just 7 percent of the Democrats polled say they would vote for their governor in a presidential contest.

Those numbers are well off those presented in a Fairleigh Dickinson University poll released today, which showed Christie’s approval rating at 53 percent versus a 36 percent disapproval rating.

Obama holds a 51 to 43 percent approval versus disapproval rating in the PPP poll.

According to the poll:

“PPP surveyed 520 New Jersey voters from January 6th to 9th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.3%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.”

Of those polled, 43 percent labeled themselves as Democrat, 29 percent Republican and 27 percent Inedpendent.

Recent state registration statistics show 46.4 percent of registered voters are unaffiliated, 33.3 percent are registered Democrats and 20 percent registered Republicans.  Of affiliated voters, 62 percent are registered Democrats and 37.5 percent are registered Republicans.

PPP is known in political circles as a partisan operation with a client list that is nearly all Democrats.  In 2009, Politico wrote about PPP’s involvement in a North Carolina senatorial contest.

“The firm makes its money by serving as the pollster to an exclusively Democratic roster of clients, ranging from members of Congress to dozens of state legislative and city council candidates. And CEO Dean Debnam has given generously to North Carolina Democratic candidates — including in races where his firm has conducted independent polling.”

Still PPP’s swing state polling in the 2008 presidential election was named by the Wall Street Journal as the second most accurate.

Full results of the poll can be found here.


Poll: Obama runs away with NJ