Quinnipiac University is out with a poll this morning that contains bad news for local real estate tycoon turned reality TV star Donald Trump: a clear majority of voters say that they “would never” vote for him.
Nearly 60 percent of those surveyed fall into that category, while only 9 percent say thay they are enthusiastic about voting for him. A mere quarter of voters say they would even consider voting for Trump. By comparison, only 26 percent of voters say they would never vote for Mitt Romney, who has struggled in some head-to-head surveys, and nearly 40 percent say they would consider voting for him.
“It is difficult to get a handle on the 2012 Republican race. Many contenders are not well known and many who are known are not liked, making their candidacies problematic. You could call this the ‘No Way’ measure,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are in the best shape. Sarah Palin and Donald Trump suffer from the reality that, as our mothers told us, ‘You never get a second chance to make a first impression.’”
In a head-to-head match-up, Trump still scores well with 12 percent of the vote, behind Mitt Romney with 18 percent, and Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin, who each score 15 percent.
Trump has said he will announce whether or not he will run by June, but has added that he knows in his head what his ultimate decision will be.
Full Results below:
Enthusiastic Would consider voting Would never vote
Huckabee 13% 34% 32%
Romney 15% 38% 26%
Palin 15% 24% 58%
Trump 9% 26% 58%
Newt Gingrich 9% 29% 42%
Ron Paul 10% 25% 27%
Michelle Bachman 6% 21% 29%
1. (Republican & Republican Leaners) It is a long way off but I would like to ask you some questions about the 2012 Presidential election…. If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels, Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, Michelle Bachman, Gary Johnson, Rick Santorum, John Huntsman, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
Tot Men Wom
Palin 15% 11% 20%
Huckabee 15 16 13
Gingrich 5 6 5
Romney 18 20 15
Daniels 5 6 4
Pawlenty 4 5 3
Paul 5 6 4
Bachman 4 6 1
Johnson 1 - 1
Santorum 1 2 -
Huntsman 1 1 1
Trump 12 9 15
DK/NA 15 12 19
TREND: (Republicans and Republican Leaners) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels, Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, Michelle Bachman, Gary Johnson, Rick Santorum, John Huntsman, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?
(*na=not asked in survey reported)
REPUBLICANS……………………………………
May 04 Nov 22
2011 2010
Palin 15 19
Huckabee 15 17
Gingrich 5 15
Romney 18 18
Daniels 5 2
Pawlenty 4 6
Bachman 4 na
Johnson 1 na
Santorum 1 na
Paul 5 na
Huntsman 1 na
Trump 12 na
Barbour na 2
Thune na 2
SMONE ELSE(VOL) na 1
WLDN’T VOTE(VOL) na 1
DK/NA 15 17
8a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Sarah Palin
Turning to the November 2012 general election for President
I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in 2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …
A) Would never vote for that candidate
B) Would consider voting for that candidate
C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate
D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet
E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so
Sarah Palin Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 58 24 91 58 54 61
B) Consider 24 42 2 29 29 20
C) Enthusiastically 15 31 3 10 15 15
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 2 1 2 2 1 3
E) Never heard of 1 1 1 - - 1
REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 -
9a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Mitt Romney
Mitt Romney Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 26 3 50 25 22 29
B) Consider 38 53 21 39 44 32
C) Enthusiastically 15 32 2 11 17 13
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 11 5 11 15 7 14
E) Never heard of 10 6 15 9 10 11
REFUSED 1 1 - - - 1
10a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Newt Gingrich
Newt Gingrich Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 42 12 72 42 43 42
B) Consider 29 53 5 31 31 26
C) Enthusiastically 9 19 2 6 12 7
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 11 8 13 11 9 13
E) Never heard of 7 7 9 8 5 10
REFUSED 1 1 - 2 - 2
11a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Michelle Bachman
Michelle Bachman Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 29 9 50 29 31 27
B) Consider 21 38 3 22 28 14
C) Enthusiastically 6 13 1 4 8 4
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 17 18 13 21 13 22
E) Never heard of 27 21 33 23 20 33
REFUSED - - - - - 0
12a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Gary Johnson
Turning to the November 2012 general election for President
I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in
2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …
A) Would never vote for that candidate
B) Would consider voting for that candidate
C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate
D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet
E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so
Gary Johnson Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 9 3 17 8 11 7
B) Consider 9 16 3 7 12 5
C) Enthusiastically 2 1 - 4 2 2
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 27 30 25 26 26 28
E) Never heard of 53 50 55 55 49 57
REFUSED - - - - - -
8b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – John Huntsman
Turning to the November 2012 general election for President
I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in
2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …
A) Would never vote for that candidate
B) Would consider voting for that candidate
C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate
D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet
E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so
John Huntsman Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 12 3 20 11 12 12
B) Consider 12 19 10 10 14 11
C) Enthusiastically 2 3 - 4 3 2
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 24 32 17 25 24 23
E) Never heard of 49 40 53 51 46 52
REFUSED 1 2 - - 1 -
9b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Tim Pawlenty
Tim Pawlenty Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 20 5 36 15 19 20
B) Consider 16 28 7 14 18 14
C) Enthusiastically 6 15 - 4 11 3
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 22 23 18 29 23 21
E) Never heard of 35 25 39 37 28 41
REFUSED 1 3 - - 1 1
10b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Mitch Daniels
Turning to the November 2012 general election for President
I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in
2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …
A) Would never vote for that candidate
B) Would consider voting for that candidate
C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate
D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet
E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so
Mitch Daniels Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 17 5 31 12 17 16
B) Consider 15 22 7 20 18 12
C) Enthusiastically 4 10 - 1 6 2
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 22 27 18 25 24 20
E) Never heard of 42 34 44 42 33 50
REFUSED 1 2 - - 1 0
11b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Ron Paul
Ron Paul Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 27 11 46 25 25 29
B) Consider 25 40 12 27 32 20
C) Enthusiastically 10 17 3 9 15 5
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 19 19 17 22 16 20
E) Never heard of 18 10 22 16 10 24
REFUSED 1 3 - - 1 1
12b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Mike Huckabee
Mike Huckabee Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 32 10 53 29 31 32
B) Consider 34 51 18 37 37 32
C) Enthusiastically 13 28 - 14 18 9
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 11 7 13 12 10 12
E) Never heard of 9 2 15 7 4 14
REFUSED 1 2 - 1 1 1
13b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Rick Santorum
Rick Santorum Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 22 3 40 19 23 21
B) Consider 15 31 5 13 19 12
C) Enthusiastically 4 10 1 3 8 2
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 23 28 21 24 25 21
E) Never heard of 35 28 34 41 26 44
REFUSED - - - - - 0
14b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Donald Trump
Turning to the November 2012 general election for President
I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in
2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …
A) Would never vote for that candidate
B) Would consider voting for that candidate
C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate
D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet
E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so
Donald Trump Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Never 58 32 81 59 55 61
B) Consider 26 44 9 28 28 25
C) Enthusiastically 9 17 2 8 9 8
D) Hvn’t hrd enough 4 5 4 3 6 3
E) Never heard of 1 - 2 2 1 2
REFUSED 1 2 1 - 2 1
34a. SPLIT SAMPLE A
What do you think is more important – Reducing the federal budget deficit or reducing unemployment?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Reducing deficit 35% 52% 20% 35% 38% 31%
Reducng unemplymnt 54 40 64 57 51 57
DK/NA 11 8 16 8 11 12
TREND: What do you think is more important, reducing the federal budget deficit or reducing unemployment?
May 04 Jan 18 Jul 22 Feb 11
2011 2011 2010 2010
Reducing deficit 35 31 30 23
Reducing unemploy 54 63 64 71
DK/NA 11 6 6 6
34b. SPLIT SAMPLE B
What do you think is more important – Reducing federal government spending or reducing unemployment?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Reducing spending 46% 67% 24% 45% 47% 45%
Redcing unemplymnt 47 29 69 46 47 48
DK/NA 7 4 7 9 6 7
43a. SPLIT SAMPLE A INTRO TO QUES 43a-46a
About sixty percent of the federal budget goes toward defense, social security, medicare and medicaid. Please tell me whether you would support or oppose each of the following in order to reduce the federal budget deficit.
Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Medicare benefits, which is the government program which pays for health care for the elderly?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 27% 42% 16% 21% 33% 23%
Oppose 70 54 84 75 65 75
DK/NA 2 4 - 4 2 2
44a. SPLIT SAMPLE A
Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Social Security benefits?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 26% 39% 16% 22% 31% 21%
Oppose 72 59 82 76 67 76
DK/NA 2 2 2 2 2 2
45a. SPLIT SAMPLE A
Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Medicaid benefits, which is the government program which pays for health care for low income people?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 40% 59% 24% 36% 48% 33%
Oppose 57 37 74 60 49 63
DK/NA 4 4 2 4 3 4
46a. SPLIT SAMPLE A
Would you support or oppose – cutting defense spending?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 54% 40% 70% 52% 59% 50%
Oppose 43 57 28 45 39 46
DK/NA 3 2 3 3 2 4
43b. SPLIT SAMPLE B INTRO TO QUES 43b-46b
Please tell me whether you would support or oppose each of the following to in
order to reduce the federal budget deficit.
Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Medicare benefits, which is the government program which pays for health care for the elderly?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 23% 32% 11% 28% 33% 13%
Oppose 75 65 87 70 66 84
DK/NA 2 3 3 2 1 3
44b. SPLIT SAMPLE B
Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Social Security benefits?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 24% 32% 17% 25% 32% 17%
Oppose 72 65 80 73 65 79
DK/NA 3 3 3 3 2 4
45b. SPLIT SAMPLE B
Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Medicaid benefits, which is the government program which pays for health care for low income people?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 38% 50% 20% 48% 42% 33%
Oppose 59 44 79 49 55 62
DK/NA 4 5 1 4 3 4
46b. SPLIT SAMPLE B
Would you support or oppose – cutting defense spending?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 47% 34% 53% 53% 55% 39%
Oppose 49 63 39 46 43 53
DK/NA 5 3 8 1 2 8
47. In order to reduce the federal budget deficit do you support or oppose – raising income taxes on households making more than $250,000?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 69% 49% 86% 72% 64% 73%
Oppose 28 48 12 25 34 23
DK/NA 3 4 2 3 2 4
48. I’m going to read you two statements about the future of the Medicare program. After I read both statements, please tell me which one comes closer to your own view.
A) Medicare should remain as it is today, with a defined set of benefits for seniors. OR
B) Medicare should be changed so that seniors who join Medicare in 2022 receive a fixed
amount of money from the government each year that they can use to shop for their own
private health insurance policy.
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
A) Remain as is 60% 46% 75% 57% 57% 62%
B) Should be changed 34 49 19 36 38 31
DK/NA 6 5 6 7 6 7
49. There is a proposal to gradually increase the age of Medicare eligibility from 65 to 67 in the year 2033, Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Good idea 51% 65% 38% 54% 58% 44%
Bad idea 46 31 58 43 39 51
DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 4
50. There is a proposal to overhaul Medicaid so that more of the responsibility for providing health care for low income people would shift from the federal government to the states. Supporters say this is necessary to control costs. Opponents say that such a change will hurt the poor because states might not provide the same coverage now available. Do you think that this proposal to overhaul Medicaid is a good idea or a bad idea?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Good idea 38% 60% 19% 37% 43% 34%
Bad idea 54 29 76 55 52 56
DK/NA 8 11 5 8 6 10
51. To combat rising gasoline prices, some have urged President Obama to release oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government’s oil stockpile, set aside for emergencies and shortages. Some say that gasoline prices don’t justify tapping the reserve at this time. Others say gas prices are high enough that the reserves should be used. Do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Support 41% 43% 37% 44% 34% 47%
Oppose 54 52 57 54 63 47
DK/NA 5 5 6 2 3 6
TREND: To combat rising gasoline prices, some have urged President Obama to release oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government’s oil stockpile, set aside for emergencies and shortages. Some say that gasoline prices don’t justify tapping the reserve at this time. Others say gas prices are high enough that the reserves should be used. Do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve?
May 04 Mar 31
2011 2011
Support 41 38%
Oppose 54 56
DK/NA 5 6
52. How much of a problem has the price of gasoline been for you and your family lately – a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem, or not a problem at all?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Very serious 27% 26% 25% 26% 22% 31%
Smwht serious 40 43 35 43 42 38
Not too serious 24 22 28 21 25 22
Not a problem 9 8 11 9 11 7
DK/NA 1 1 1 - - 1
53. As a result of the recent rise in gas prices, have you – cut back significantly on your household spending or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 54% 57% 47% 58% 51% 57%
No 45 43 52 42 49 42
DK/NA - - - 1 - 1
TREND: As a result of the recent rise in gas prices, have you cut back significantly on your household spending or not?
May 04 May 15 Jun 14 Jun 2
2011 2008 2007 2006
Yes 54 57 48 50
No 45 42 51 49
DK/NA - 1 1 1
54. As a result of the recent rise in gas prices, have you – cut back significantly on how much you drive or not?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 60% 64% 53% 64% 54% 66%
No 39 35 46 35 46 33
DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1
TREND: As a result of the recent rise in gas prices, have you cut back significantly on how much you drive or not?
May 04 May 15 Jun 14 Jun 2
2011 2008 2007 2006
Yes 37 61 58 56
No 60 37 41 43
DK/NA 4 2 1 1
55. As a result of gas prices, have you – changed your summer vacation plans?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Yes 37% 43% 30% 35% 34% 38%
No 60 56 67 60 62 58
DK/NA 4 1 3 5 3 4
56. Who do you blame the most for the recent increase in gasoline prices; Oil producing countries, Oil companies, President Obama, Americans who drive vehicles that use a lot of gasoline or Normal supply and demand pressures?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Oil prodcg countries 21% 24% 21% 20% 20% 22%
Oil companies 40 24 55 39 37 43
Obama 15 29 2 14 18 12
American Drivers 2 2 3 2 2 3
Supply and demand 14 14 14 15 16 12
DK/NA 8 8 6 10 8 8
TREND: Who do you blame the most for the recent increase in gasoline prices – oil producing countries, oil companies, President ****, Americans who drive vehicles that use a lot of gasoline or normal supply and demand pressures.
(* President Bush)
OBAMA BUSH……….
May 04 May 15 Jun 14
2011 2008* 2007*
Oil prodcg countries 21 19 11
Oil companies 40 35 43
President XXX 15 23 20
American Drivers 2 3 4
supply and demand 14 14 13
DK/NA 8 6 9
58. Do you think Congress should try to repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand?
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom
Repeal 44% 80% 12% 44% 50% 39%
Let it stand 45 15 77 40 42 47
DK/NA 11 5 11 16 8 14
TREND: Do you think Congress should try to repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand?
May 04 Jan 18
2011 2011
Should repeal it 44 48
Should let it stand 45 43
DK/NA 11 8
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