Poll: Clear Majority ‘Would Never’ Vote for Trump

donald trump 8 Poll: Clear Majority Would Never Vote for TrumpQuinnipiac University is out with a poll this morning that contains bad news for local real estate tycoon turned reality TV star Donald Trump: a clear majority of voters say that they “would never” vote for him.

Nearly 60 percent of those surveyed fall into that category, while only 9 percent say thay they are enthusiastic about voting for him. A mere quarter of voters say they would even consider voting for Trump. By comparison, only 26 percent of voters say they would never vote for Mitt Romney, who has struggled in some head-to-head surveys, and nearly 40 percent say they would consider voting for him.

“It is difficult to get a handle on the 2012 Republican race. Many contenders are not well known and many who are known are not liked, making their candidacies problematic. You could call this the ‘No Way’ measure,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are in the best shape. Sarah Palin and Donald Trump suffer from the reality that, as our mothers told us, ‘You never get a second chance to make a first impression.'”

In a head-to-head match-up, Trump still scores well with 12 percent of the vote, behind Mitt Romney with 18 percent, and Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin, who each score 15 percent.

Trump has said he will announce whether or not he will run by June, but has added that he knows in his head what his ultimate decision will be.

Full Results below:

                                       Enthusiastic                Would consider voting           Would never vote

Huckabee                        13%                                      34%                                         32%

Romney                           15%                                      38%                                         26%

Palin                                15%                                      24%                                         58%

Trump                              9%                                       26%                                         58%    

Newt Gingrich                  9%                                       29%                                         42%

Ron Paul                         10%                                      25%                                         27%

Michelle Bachman            6%                                       21%                                         29%

 

 

 

1. (Republican & Republican Leaners) It is a long way off but I would like to ask you some questions about the 2012 Presidential election….  If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels, Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, Michelle Bachman, Gary Johnson, Rick Santorum, John Huntsman, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?

 

                     Tot    Men    Wom

 

Palin                15%    11%    20%

Huckabee         15     16     13

Gingrich              5      6      5

Romney             18     20     15

Daniels               5      6      4

Pawlenty           4      5      3

Paul                  5      6      4

Bachman           4      6      1

Johnson             1      –      1

Santorum          1      2      -

Huntsman           1      1      1

Trump                12      9     15

DK/NA                15     12     19

 

TREND: (Republicans and Republican Leaners) If the 2012 Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Mitt Romney, Mitch Daniels, Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, Michelle Bachman, Gary Johnson, Rick Santorum, John Huntsman, and Donald Trump, for whom would you vote?

(*na=not asked in survey reported)

 

                     REPUBLICANS……………………………………

 

                     May 04  Nov 22

                     2011    2010

 

Palin                15      19

Huckabee             15      17

Gingrich              5      15

Romney               18      18

Daniels               5       2

Pawlenty              4       6

Bachman               4      na

Johnson               1      na

Santorum              1      na

Paul                  5      na

Huntsman              1      na

Trump                12      na

Barbour              na       2

Thune                na       2

SMONE ELSE(VOL)      na       1

WLDN’T VOTE(VOL)     na       1

DK/NA                15      17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Sarah Palin

 

Turning to the November 2012 general election for President

I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in 2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …

A) Would never vote for that candidate

B) Would consider voting for that candidate

C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate

D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet

E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so

 

Sarah Palin          Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             58     24     91     58     54     61

B) Consider          24     42      2     29     29     20

C) Enthusiastically  15     31      3     10     15     15

D) Hvn’t hrd enough   2      1      2      2      1      3

E) Never heard of     1      1      1      –      –      1

REFUSED               1      1      –      1      1      -

 

 

9a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Mitt Romney

 

Mitt Romney          Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             26      3     50     25     22     29

B) Consider          38     53     21     39     44     32

C) Enthusiastically  15     32      2     11     17     13

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  11      5     11     15      7     14

E) Never heard of    10      6     15      9     10     11

REFUSED               1      1      –      –      –      1

 

 

10a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Newt Gingrich

 

Newt Gingrich        Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             42     12     72     42     43     42

B) Consider          29     53      5     31     31     26

C) Enthusiastically   9     19      2      6     12      7

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  11      8     13     11      9     13

E) Never heard of     7      7      9      8      5     10

REFUSED               1      1      –      2      –      2

 

 

11a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Michelle Bachman

 

Michelle Bachman     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             29      9     50     29     31     27

B) Consider          21     38      3     22     28     14

C) Enthusiastically   6     13      1      4      8      4

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  17     18     13     21     13     22

E) Never heard of    27     21     33     23     20     33

REFUSED               –      –      –      –      –      0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12a. SPLIT SAMPLE A – Gary Johnson

 

Turning to the November 2012 general election for President

I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in

2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …

A) Would never vote for that candidate

B) Would consider voting for that candidate

C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate

D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet

E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so

 

Gary Johnson         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never              9      3     17      8     11      7

B) Consider           9     16      3      7     12      5

C) Enthusiastically   2      1      –      4      2      2

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  27     30     25     26     26     28

E) Never heard of    53     50     55     55     49     57

REFUSED               –      –      –      –      –      -

 

 

8b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – John Huntsman

 

Turning to the November 2012 general election for President

I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in

2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …

A) Would never vote for that candidate

B) Would consider voting for that candidate

C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate

D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet

E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so

 

John Huntsman        Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             12      3     20     11     12     12

B) Consider          12     19     10     10     14     11

C) Enthusiastically   2      3      –      4      3      2

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  24     32     17     25     24     23

E) Never heard of    49     40     53     51     46     52

REFUSED               1      2      –      –      1      -

 

 

9b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Tim Pawlenty

 

Tim Pawlenty         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             20      5     36     15     19     20

B) Consider          16     28      7     14     18     14

C) Enthusiastically   6     15      –      4     11      3

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  22     23     18     29     23     21

E) Never heard of    35     25     39     37     28     41

REFUSED               1      3      –      –      1      1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

10b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Mitch Daniels

 

Turning to the November 2012 general election for President

I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in

2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …

A) Would never vote for that candidate

B) Would consider voting for that candidate

C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate

D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet

E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so

 

Mitch Daniels        Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             17      5     31     12     17     16

B) Consider          15     22      7     20     18     12

C) Enthusiastically   4     10      –      1      6      2

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  22     27     18     25     24     20

E) Never heard of    42     34     44     42     33     50

REFUSED               1      2      –      –      1      0

 

 

11b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Ron Paul

 

Ron Paul             Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             27     11     46     25     25     29

B) Consider          25     40     12     27     32     20

C) Enthusiastically  10     17      3      9     15      5

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  19     19     17     22     16     20

E) Never heard of    18     10     22     16     10     24

REFUSED               1      3      –      –      1      1

 

 

12b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Mike Huckabee

 

Mike Huckabee        Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             32     10     53     29     31     32

B) Consider          34     51     18     37     37     32

C) Enthusiastically  13     28      –     14     18      9

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  11      7     13     12     10     12

E) Never heard of     9      2     15      7      4     14

REFUSED               1      2      –      1      1      1

 

 

13b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Rick Santorum

 

Rick Santorum        Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             22      3     40     19     23     21

B) Consider          15     31      5     13     19     12

C) Enthusiastically   4     10      1      3      8      2

D) Hvn’t hrd enough  23     28     21     24     25     21

E) Never heard of    35     28     34     41     26     44

REFUSED               –      –      –      –      –      0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

14b. SPLIT SAMPLE B – Donald Trump

 

Turning to the November 2012 general election for President

I am going to name some candidates who might run for President in

2012, and for each one I read tell me whether you …

A) Would never vote for that candidate

B) Would consider voting for that candidate

C) Would enthusiastically vote for that candidate

D) Haven’t heard enough about the candidate to say yet

E) If you have never heard of someone I name, please just say so

 

Donald Trump         Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Never             58     32     81     59     55     61

B) Consider          26     44      9     28     28     25

C) Enthusiastically   9     17      2      8      9      8

D) Hvn’t hrd enough   4      5      4      3      6      3

E) Never heard of     1      –      2      2      1      2

REFUSED               1      2      1      –      2      1

 

 

34a. SPLIT SAMPLE A

What do you think is more important – Reducing the federal budget deficit or reducing unemployment?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Reducing deficit     35%    52%    20%    35%    38%    31%

Reducng unemplymnt   54     40     64     57     51     57

DK/NA                11      8     16      8     11     12

 

TREND: What do you think is more important, reducing the federal budget deficit or reducing unemployment?

 

                     May 04  Jan 18  Jul 22  Feb 11

                     2011    2011    2010    2010

 

Reducing deficit     35      31      30      23

Reducing unemploy    54      63      64      71

DK/NA                11       6       6       6

 

 

34b. SPLIT SAMPLE B

What do you think is more important – Reducing federal government spending or reducing unemployment?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Reducing spending    46%    67%    24%    45%    47%    45%

Redcing unemplymnt   47     29     69     46     47     48

DK/NA                 7      4      7      9      6      7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

43a. SPLIT SAMPLE A INTRO TO QUES 43a-46a

About sixty percent of the federal budget goes toward defense, social security, medicare and medicaid. Please tell me whether you would support or oppose each of the following in order to reduce the federal budget deficit.

 

Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Medicare benefits, which is the government program which pays for health care for the elderly?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              27%    42%    16%    21%    33%    23%

Oppose               70     54     84     75     65     75

DK/NA                 2      4      –      4      2      2

 

 

44a. SPLIT SAMPLE A

Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Social Security benefits?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              26%    39%    16%    22%    31%    21%

Oppose               72     59     82     76     67     76

DK/NA                 2      2      2      2      2      2

 

 

45a. SPLIT SAMPLE A

Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Medicaid benefits, which is the government program which pays for health care for low income people?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              40%    59%    24%    36%    48%    33%

Oppose               57     37     74     60     49     63

DK/NA                 4      4      2      4      3      4

 

46a. SPLIT SAMPLE A

Would you support or oppose – cutting defense spending?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              54%    40%    70%    52%    59%    50%

Oppose               43     57     28     45     39     46

DK/NA                 3      2      3      3      2      4

 

 

43b. SPLIT SAMPLE B INTRO TO QUES 43b-46b

Please tell me whether you would support or oppose each of the following to in

order to reduce the federal budget deficit.

 

Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Medicare benefits, which is the government program which pays for health care for the elderly?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              23%    32%    11%    28%    33%    13%

Oppose               75     65     87     70     66     84

DK/NA                 2      3      3      2      1      3

 

 

 

 

 

 

44b. SPLIT SAMPLE B

Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Social Security benefits?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              24%    32%    17%    25%    32%    17%

Oppose               72     65     80     73     65     79

DK/NA                 3      3      3      3      2      4

 

 

45b. SPLIT SAMPLE B

Would you support or oppose – cutting the growth of spending on Medicaid benefits, which is the government program which pays for health care for low income people?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              38%    50%    20%    48%    42%    33%

Oppose               59     44     79     49     55     62

DK/NA                 4      5      1      4      3      4

 

46b. SPLIT SAMPLE B

Would you support or oppose – cutting defense spending?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              47%    34%    53%    53%    55%    39%

Oppose               49     63     39     46     43     53

DK/NA                 5      3      8      1      2      8

 

47. In order to reduce the federal budget deficit do you support or oppose – raising income taxes on households making more than $250,000?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              69%    49%    86%    72%    64%    73%

Oppose               28     48     12     25     34     23

DK/NA                 3      4      2      3      2      4

 

 

48. I’m going to read you two statements about the future of the Medicare program.  After I read both statements, please tell me which one comes closer to your own view.

 

A) Medicare should remain as it is today, with a defined set of benefits for seniors. OR

B) Medicare should be changed so that seniors who join Medicare in 2022 receive a fixed

amount of money from the government each year that they can use to shop for their own

private health insurance policy.

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

A) Remain as is      60%    46%    75%    57%    57%    62%

B) Should be changed 34     49     19     36     38     31

DK/NA                 6      5      6      7      6      7

 

 

49. There is a proposal to gradually increase the age of Medicare eligibility from 65 to 67 in the year 2033, Do you think that is a good idea or a bad idea?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Good idea            51%    65%    38%    54%    58%    44%

Bad idea             46     31     58     43     39     51

DK/NA                 4      4      4      3      3      4

 

 

50. There is a proposal to overhaul Medicaid so that more of the responsibility for providing health care for low income people would shift from the federal government to the states.  Supporters say this is necessary to control costs. Opponents say that such a change will hurt the poor because states might not provide the same coverage now available. Do you think that this proposal to overhaul Medicaid is a good idea or a bad idea?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Good idea            38%    60%    19%    37%    43%    34%

Bad idea             54     29     76     55     52     56

DK/NA                 8     11      5      8      6     10

 

 

51. To combat rising gasoline prices, some have urged President Obama to release oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government’s oil stockpile, set aside for emergencies and shortages. Some say that gasoline prices don’t justify tapping the reserve at this time. Others say gas prices are high enough that the reserves should be used. Do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Support              41%    43%    37%    44%    34%    47%

Oppose               54     52     57     54     63     47

DK/NA                 5      5      6      2      3      6

 

 

TREND: To combat rising gasoline prices, some have urged President Obama to release oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government’s oil stockpile, set aside for emergencies and shortages.  Some say that gasoline prices don’t justify tapping the reserve at this time.  Others say gas prices are high enough that the reserves should be used.  Do you support or oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve?

 

                     May 04  Mar 31

                     2011    2011

 

Support              41      38%

Oppose               54      56

DK/NA                 5       6

 

 

52. How much of a problem has the price of gasoline been for you and your family lately – a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem, or not a problem at all?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Very serious         27%    26%    25%    26%    22%    31%

Smwht serious        40     43     35     43     42     38

Not too serious      24     22     28     21     25     22

Not a problem         9      8     11      9     11      7

DK/NA                 1      1      1      –      –      1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

53. As a result of the recent rise in gas prices, have you – cut back significantly on your household spending or not?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Yes                  54%    57%    47%    58%    51%    57%

No                   45     43     52     42     49     42

DK/NA                 –      –      –      1      –      1

 

TREND: As a result of the recent rise in gas prices, have you cut back significantly on your household spending or not?

 

 

                     May 04  May 15  Jun 14  Jun 2

                     2011    2008    2007    2006

 

Yes                  54      57      48      50

No                   45      42      51      49

DK/NA                 –       1       1       1

 

 

54. As a result of the recent rise in gas prices, have you – cut back significantly on how much you drive or not?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Yes                  60%    64%    53%    64%    54%    66%

No                   39     35     46     35     46     33

DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      1

 

 

TREND: As a result of the recent rise in gas prices, have you cut back significantly on how much you drive or not?

 

                     May 04  May 15  Jun 14  Jun 2

                     2011    2008    2007    2006

 

Yes                  37      61      58      56

No                   60      37      41      43

DK/NA                 4       2       1       1

 

 

55. As a result of gas prices, have you – changed your summer vacation plans?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Yes                  37%    43%    30%    35%    34%    38%

No                   60     56     67     60     62     58

DK/NA                 4      1      3      5      3      4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

56. Who do you blame the most for the recent increase in gasoline prices; Oil producing countries, Oil companies, President Obama, Americans who drive vehicles that use a lot of gasoline or Normal supply and demand pressures?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Oil prodcg countries 21%    24%    21%    20%    20%    22%

Oil companies        40     24     55     39     37     43

Obama                15     29      2     14     18     12

American Drivers      2      2      3      2      2      3

Supply and demand    14     14     14     15     16     12

DK/NA                 8      8      6     10      8      8

 

TREND: Who do you blame the most for the recent increase in gasoline prices – oil producing countries, oil companies, President ****, Americans who drive vehicles that use a lot of gasoline or normal supply and demand pressures.

(* President Bush)

 

                     OBAMA   BUSH……….

                     May 04  May 15  Jun 14

                     2011    2008*   2007*

 

Oil prodcg countries 21      19      11

Oil companies        40      35      43

President XXX        15      23      20

American Drivers      2       3       4

supply and demand    14      14      13

DK/NA                 8       6       9

 

 

58. Do you think Congress should try to repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand?

 

                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom

 

Repeal               44%    80%    12%    44%    50%    39%

Let it stand         45     15     77     40     42     47

DK/NA                11      5     11     16      8     14

 

 

TREND: Do you think Congress should try to repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand?

 

                     May 04  Jan 18

                     2011    2011

 

Should repeal it     44      48

Should let it stand  45      43

DK/NA                11       8