Poll: New York Still Safe for Obama, But Glimmer of Hope for G.O.P.

A new poll out today by the Siena Research Institute showed that Republicans have a steep climb ahead of them if they hope to lighten the dark shade of blue of New York State.

The poll gives President Barack Obama a 58-31 lead over Texas Gov. Rick Perry, and a 55-37 lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. He also leads Herman Cain 58-32.  In the previous poll last month, Mr. Obama led Mr. Perry by a smaller, 23-point margin, and led Mr. Romney by larger 20 point margin.

“The President’s ratings continue to be very strong with Democrats, very negative with Republicans, and virtually evenly divided among independents,” Siena Polling director Steven Greenberg said.  “However, New York has not voted for a Republican for president since 1984, and Obama continues to have leads of between 18 and 27 points against three potential Republican challengers. Obama does better with Democrats than any of the challengers do with Republicans, and he leads among independents against all three by margins of between 13 and 21 points.”

There are some interesting signs in the poll however for Republican operatives hoping to win down-ballot races across New York. For one thing, Mr. Romney ties Mr. Obama upstate, while Mr. Obama leads Mr. Perry by 16 percent up there. Also, Catholic voters prefer Mr. Romney to the president by 4 percent, but prefer Mr. Obama to Mr. Perry by 9 percent.

 

Poll: New York Still Safe for Obama, But Glimmer of Hope for G.O.P.