Since 1995, Vanity Fair has released an annual gatefold cover spotlighting hot new stars (with occasional breaks for covers featuring “legends” or Barack Obama). This is a risky game: the 1995 cover featured Nicole Kidman, Sarah Jessica Parker, and Julianne Moore, while the 2000 cover included Wes Bentley and Chris Klein.

This year’s cover, released this morning, includes 11 stars lounging in a vaguely boudoir-ish setting; many of them were not especially recognizable to begin with (that’s rather the point), but they’re made up to look even less so! Herewith, a forecasting of the futures of these bright young stars (some of whom we’ve seen on this cover in past years), measured by stars featured on past Hollywood Issue covers.

Rooney Mara (The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo):

Best-case scenario: Natalie Portman

Worst-case scenario: Noomi Rapace

Jennifer Lawrence (The Hunger Games):

Best-case scenario: Jennifer Lawrence (The Hunger Games)

Worst-case scenario: Jennifer Lawrence (The Beaver)

Mia Wasikowska (Jane Eyre):

Best-case scenario: Mia Wasikowska (Jane Eyre)

Worst-case scenario: Mia Wasikowska (Albert Nobbs)

Jessica Chastain (The Help, etc.):

Best-case scenario: Julianne Moore

Worst-case scenario: Claire Forlani

Elizabeth Olsen (Martha Marcy May Marlene):

Best-case scenario: Carey Mulligan

Worst-case scenario: Alison Lohman

Adepero Oduye (Pariah)

Best-case scenario: Angela Bassett

Worst-case scenario: Rosario Dawson

Shailene Woodley (The Descendants)

Best-case scenario: Emma Stone

Worst-case scenario: Selma Blair

Paula Patton (Mission: Impossible–Ghost Protocol)

Best-case scenario: Salma Hayek

Worst-case scenario: Jessica Biel

Felicity Jones (Like Crazy)

Best-case scenario: Cate Blanchett

Worst-case scenario: Minnie Driver

Lily Collins (Mirror, Mirror)

Best-case scenario: Kate Hudson

Worst-case scenario: Monica Potter

Brit Marling (Another Earth)

Best-case scenario: Chloe Sevigny

Worst-case scenario: Leelee Sobieski

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