Stockton New Jersey Poll: Clinton 51%, Trump 40%

Democrat Hillary Clinton has an 11-point lead over Republican Donald Trump in the presidential tilt for New Jersey’s 14 Electoral College votes, according to a Stockton Poll released today.

Clinton leads in New Jersey 51 percent to 40 percent for Trump, with 3 percent for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1 percent for Jill Stein of the Green Party, according to the statewide poll. Less than 6 percent are undecided or not expressing a preference for any of the four major candidates.

The Democrat led by only six percentage points in a Stockton Poll released Sept. 30. The majority of the new poll was conducted after the FBI announced that it had discovered more Clinton emails on an aide’s computer.

Also, the poll finds that an overwhelming 71 percent oppose a proposed Constitutional amendment to allow two new casinos to be located 72 miles from Atlantic City. Only 24 percent support the amendment, and 5 percent are undecided. Regarding a second proposed Constitutional amendment, 63 percent support dedicating increased gasoline tax revenues to pay for transportation projects, while 33 percent oppose it and 4 percent are unsure.

Live interviewers on the Stockton University campus called both landlines and cell phones from Oct. 27-Nov. 2, 2016. The poll was conducted with 678 adults who are likely voters in New Jersey. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.75 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence level.

“New Jersey is a blue state, and it doesn’t appear that the latest headlines have shaken Clinton’s base of Democratic support,” said Sharon Schulman, executive director of the Hughes Center.

But the email publicity appears to have hurt Clinton’s image in the area of trustworthiness, the poll finds. In the Sept. 30 poll, Clinton and Trump were essentially tied (38 percent to 37 percent) on who voters consider more honest and trustworthy. In the latest poll, Trump leads in that category 39 percent to 34 percent. Clinton leads in other candidate comparisons.

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