Hillary Clinton. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Why Much of the Conventional Wisdom About 2016 Is Wrong

As the campaign progresses many things will be repeated so much that they become conventional wisdom, particularly within one segment of the electorate. Some of these are true. For example, Martin O’Malley is very unlikely to pose a meaningful challenge to Hillary Clinton; the election will come down to the same six to ten swing states that have determined every election this century; and the Republicans are fighting a battle against changing demographics. However, many of the tropes that become conventional wisdom are false or nonsensical. Here are five examples.

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