Jerry Skurnik crunches the numbers and emails some interesting bits of analysis.
Bill de Blasio beat Mark Green pretty much everywhere.
“Two closest were 59 AD (Canarsie), where Thomas Jefferson Club supported Green and he lost 1,465 – 1,224 & 26 AD (Eastern Queens), where he lost 2,189-2,141,” Skurnik Read More
As Carolyn Maloney prepares to announce that she's running a primary campaign against Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, Maloney has left no doubt that she regards multi-candidate primary fields as an inherent good, and maybe even a right.
“People around the world watched and were inspired as people in Iran risked their lives to vote,” she Read More
The esteemed numbers expert Jerry Skurnik has responded to a column in which I sought to put David Paterson’s hideous poll numbers in some historical context.
In the column, I wrote:
A quick review of past polling finds that just three sitting governors in the last three Read More
After an official canvassing of voting machines in Queens, Republican State Senator Frank Padavan leads his Democratic challenger, City Councilman Jim Gennaro, by 502 votes, according to a spokeswoman at the city’s Board of Elections.
Yet to be counted are 8,063 votes cast by paper (absentee ballots, emergency ballots, etc.).
Veteran political consultant Read More
Michael Bloomberg is already coming under criticism from City Council members over the budget cutbacks he proposed.
And according to Democratic consultant Hank Sheinkopf, that criticism will only make Bloomberg…stronger.
“If they attack him, they strengthen his hand,” said Sheinkopf. The presumption among Bloomberg’s critics “is that New Yorkers don’t know the world is Read More
On the surface, the story is a familiar one.
A young insurgent, Dan Squadron, decides to challenge an entrenched incumbent, Marty Connor, in a State Senate race, in a year when public antipathy towards the ossified ways of Albany is greater than it has been in recent memory. The line between underdog liberal reformer and Read More
Here’s something I didn’t get to squeeze into my story about the potential impact of Barack Obama’s nomination on New York politics: in the February 5 primary, 276,076 of the Democrats who voted in New York City had never voted before.
That’s according to Jerry Skurnik, a Democratic consultant and professional number-cruncher.
It should, theoretically, be the least of concerns for Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver’s primary challengers to petition successfully for a place on the ballot. (Only 500 signatures are required in the district.) But they’re not taking any chances.
This morning, one of Silver’s opponents, Luke Henry, announced that he’s retained Alan Zimmerman, Read More
Here’s how longtime political consultant Jerry Skurnik explained why anyone cares who wins the ongoing race for one of two positions on Manhattan Surrogate’s Court: “Because a lot of lawyers make a lot of money at the courts."
In particular, he went on, trust and real estate lawyers, "many of whom are politically connected, get Read More
Here’s the invitation to the holiday party hosted by Jerry Skurnik and Stuart Osnow of Prime New York, the warehouse for lots and lots of voter information in New York.
As always, the invitation was accompanied by some political poetry:
2007 was a very slow year
We waited for 2008 to Read More