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	<title>Observer &#187; european central bank</title>
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		<title>Observer &#187; european central bank</title>
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		<title>Morgan Stanley and Citigroup Reach Deal; UBS Whitsleblower Got Prison Sentence, $104 Million: Roundup</title>

		<comments>http://observer.com/2012/09/morgan-stanley-and-citigroup-reach-deal-ubs-whitsleblower-got-prison-sentence-104-million-roundup/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Sep 2012 07:49:30 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://observer.com/2012/09/morgan-stanley-and-citigroup-reach-deal-ubs-whitsleblower-got-prison-sentence-104-million-roundup/</link>
			<dc:creator>Patrick Clark</dc:creator>
				
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://observer.com/?p=262556</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Morgan Stanley and Citigroup agreed to value <strong>Morgan Stanley Smith Barney</strong> at $13.5 billion, more than the outside bankers hired to mediate the deal said the <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-11/citigroup-said-to-end-mssb-fight-with-morgan-stanley-overnight.html">joint venture brokerage was worth</a>. According to Bloomberg, Perella Weinberg Partners priced the brokerage at the lower end of the difference between valuations submitted by Morgan Stanley and Citi, which would have resulted in a final price of less than $11.5 billion. The banks agreed on the higher value, however, fixing the price at which Morgan Stanley will acquire Citi's stake in the partnership. <!--more--></p>
<p>Bradley Birkenfeld, the former <strong>UBS</strong> banker who provided the Internal Revenue Service with evidence that the Swiss bank was helping U.S. citizens evade taxes, will receive $104 million in a <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-11/ubs-whistle-blower-birkenfeld-secures-irs-award-lawyers-say.html">whistleblower award.</a> Mr. Birkenfeld, who said he once concealed diamonds in a toothpaste tube on behalf of a client, was released from prison on Aug. 1 after serving part of a 40-month sentence after confessing that he had forgotten to blow the whistle on himself.</p>
<p><strong>Deutsche Bank</strong> is lagging behind its European peers when it comes to meeting new <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-11/deutsche-bank-overhaul-leaves-firm-trailing-peers-on-capital.html">regulatory capital requirements</a>, according to Bloomberg. The bank may cut jobs and reduce pay ratios under a restructuring plan announced this week.</p>
<p>A German court paved the way for the <strong>European Central Bank</strong> to begin a new program to buy sovereign debt, <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444426404577646790818143160.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_LEFTTopStories">dismissing a lawsuit</a> that sought to delay the plan.</p>
<p>Two-thirds of economists polled by Bloomberg think that the <strong>Federal Reserve</strong> will announce <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-12/fed-seen-starting-qe3-while-extending-rate-pledge-to-2015.html">a new round of bond purchases</a> tomorrow.</p>
<p>More details in the plea agreement signed by <strong>Peregrine Financial Group</strong> founder Russell Wasendorf Sr., who faces up to 50 years in prison under a <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444017504577645750763125344.html?mod=googlenews_wsj">deal with prosecutors</a>.</p>
<p>Zuck spoke; <strong>Facebook</strong> <a href="http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/11/zuckerberg-acknowledges-disappointing-wall-street/?ref=business">shares rose</a>.</p>
<p>Plaintiffs say that <strong>private equity firms</strong> including KKR, Silver Lake Partners and Bain Capital colluded to tamp down prices on buyout deals, according to a <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/12/business/documents-depict-equity-firms-like-bain-as-colluding.html?pagewanted=1">complaint filed</a> in Massachusetts Federal District Court. <em>The New York Times </em>went to court to get the documents, which Bain lawyers worried would get washed into the election news cycle.</p>
<p>No one in France believes <strong>Bernard Arnault</strong>, the Louis Vuitton chief and the country's richest man, when he says he'll keep <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48998008">paying taxes</a> in France once he's received Belgian nationality, according to <em>The Financial Times. </em>French president François Hollande has promised to tax income above 1 million euros at 75 percent.</p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Morgan Stanley and Citigroup agreed to value <strong>Morgan Stanley Smith Barney</strong> at $13.5 billion, more than the outside bankers hired to mediate the deal said the <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-11/citigroup-said-to-end-mssb-fight-with-morgan-stanley-overnight.html">joint venture brokerage was worth</a>. According to Bloomberg, Perella Weinberg Partners priced the brokerage at the lower end of the difference between valuations submitted by Morgan Stanley and Citi, which would have resulted in a final price of less than $11.5 billion. The banks agreed on the higher value, however, fixing the price at which Morgan Stanley will acquire Citi's stake in the partnership. <!--more--></p>
<p>Bradley Birkenfeld, the former <strong>UBS</strong> banker who provided the Internal Revenue Service with evidence that the Swiss bank was helping U.S. citizens evade taxes, will receive $104 million in a <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-11/ubs-whistle-blower-birkenfeld-secures-irs-award-lawyers-say.html">whistleblower award.</a> Mr. Birkenfeld, who said he once concealed diamonds in a toothpaste tube on behalf of a client, was released from prison on Aug. 1 after serving part of a 40-month sentence after confessing that he had forgotten to blow the whistle on himself.</p>
<p><strong>Deutsche Bank</strong> is lagging behind its European peers when it comes to meeting new <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-11/deutsche-bank-overhaul-leaves-firm-trailing-peers-on-capital.html">regulatory capital requirements</a>, according to Bloomberg. The bank may cut jobs and reduce pay ratios under a restructuring plan announced this week.</p>
<p>A German court paved the way for the <strong>European Central Bank</strong> to begin a new program to buy sovereign debt, <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444426404577646790818143160.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_LEFTTopStories">dismissing a lawsuit</a> that sought to delay the plan.</p>
<p>Two-thirds of economists polled by Bloomberg think that the <strong>Federal Reserve</strong> will announce <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-09-12/fed-seen-starting-qe3-while-extending-rate-pledge-to-2015.html">a new round of bond purchases</a> tomorrow.</p>
<p>More details in the plea agreement signed by <strong>Peregrine Financial Group</strong> founder Russell Wasendorf Sr., who faces up to 50 years in prison under a <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444017504577645750763125344.html?mod=googlenews_wsj">deal with prosecutors</a>.</p>
<p>Zuck spoke; <strong>Facebook</strong> <a href="http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/11/zuckerberg-acknowledges-disappointing-wall-street/?ref=business">shares rose</a>.</p>
<p>Plaintiffs say that <strong>private equity firms</strong> including KKR, Silver Lake Partners and Bain Capital colluded to tamp down prices on buyout deals, according to a <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/09/12/business/documents-depict-equity-firms-like-bain-as-colluding.html?pagewanted=1">complaint filed</a> in Massachusetts Federal District Court. <em>The New York Times </em>went to court to get the documents, which Bain lawyers worried would get washed into the election news cycle.</p>
<p>No one in France believes <strong>Bernard Arnault</strong>, the Louis Vuitton chief and the country's richest man, when he says he'll keep <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48998008">paying taxes</a> in France once he's received Belgian nationality, according to <em>The Financial Times. </em>French president François Hollande has promised to tax income above 1 million euros at 75 percent.</p>
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		<title>Vikram Pandit Gets Around to Talking Sandy Weill; George Soros Takes Stake in Manchester United: Roundup</title>

		<comments>http://observer.com/2012/08/vikram-pandit-gets-around-to-talking-sandy-weill-george-soros-takes-stake-in-manchester-united-roundup/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Aug 2012 09:28:43 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://observer.com/2012/08/vikram-pandit-gets-around-to-talking-sandy-weill-george-soros-takes-stake-in-manchester-united-roundup/</link>
			<dc:creator>Patrick Clark</dc:creator>
				
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://observer.com/?p=258520</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Nearly a month after former Citigroup chief executive Sandy Weill called for the break-up of the biggest U.S. banks, current Citi CEO <strong>Vikram Pandit</strong> told the <em>Financial Times</em> that the bank is<a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/be3a7a0a-eaa0-11e1-ba49-00144feab49a.html#axzz24BWqC7Lj"> sized just right</a>.</p>
<p>How to define <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443713704577601761419069098.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection">'subprime?'</a> The answer may determine the fate of the government's case against three <strong>Freddie Mac</strong> executives alleged to have <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443713704577601761419069098.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection">misled mortgage investors</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Citi</strong> became the first U.S. lender to issue it's own <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-21/citigroup-issues-sole-brand-china-credit-card-as-rules-ease-1-.html">credit card</a> in China, Bloomberg reports.</p>
<p><strong>George Soros</strong> disclosed a <a href="http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/08/20/soros-acquires-stake-in-manchester-united/">7.85 percent stake</a> in Manchester United, the British soccer club that began trading on New York Stock Exchange on Aug. 10.</p>
<p>Felix Salmon says <strong>Man U's</strong> fluctuating share price is another <a href="http://www.felixsalmon.com/2012/08/man-us-weird-share-price/">good argument</a> to keep investors away from initial public offerings.</p>
<p>The regulator tasked with overseeing audits of brokerage firms such as Peregrine Financial Group, the Iowa-based futures broker that shuttered last month after it's founder attempted suicide, has <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/21/business/accounting-board-faults-audits-of-brokerage-firms.html">disturbing news</a>, Floyd Norris reports in <em>The Times. </em>Every audit reviewed by <strong>Public Company Accounting Oversight Board </strong>inspectors showed a failure to take proper efforts to verify financial statements or ensure that the audited firms had sufficient capital on hand.</p>
<p>Since the London Whale capsized <strong>Jamie Dimon's</strong> reputation, Wall Street has struggled to put forth a <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-20/wall-street-leaderless-in-rules-fight-as-dimon-diminished.html">replacement statesmen</a>, according to Bloomberg.</p>
<p>Despite new law that may allow <strong>IPO bankers</strong> to publish research on offerings they underwrite as soon as, or even before, shares begin trading, banks have informally agreed to a <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444233104577591773919525202.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection">quiet period of 25 days</a>, <em>The Wall Street Journal</em> reports.</p>
<p>In an about face, <strong>Warren Buffett's</strong> Berkshire Hathaway <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443855804577601413630604118.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection">terminated $8.25 billion</a> in credit default swaps on municipal debt. If Mr. Buffett has doubts about munis, should you too?</p>
<p><strong>Best Buy</strong> reported second-quarter profit fell <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/best-buy-2q-profit-drops-122229345.html">90 percent</a> on restructuring charges and week sales. Good news for Richard Schulze?</p>
<p>Spain's short-term borrowing costs fell as markets bet that the <strong>European Central Bank</strong> would <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48734760">intervene</a> in sovereign debt markets.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nearly a month after former Citigroup chief executive Sandy Weill called for the break-up of the biggest U.S. banks, current Citi CEO <strong>Vikram Pandit</strong> told the <em>Financial Times</em> that the bank is<a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/be3a7a0a-eaa0-11e1-ba49-00144feab49a.html#axzz24BWqC7Lj"> sized just right</a>.</p>
<p>How to define <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443713704577601761419069098.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection">'subprime?'</a> The answer may determine the fate of the government's case against three <strong>Freddie Mac</strong> executives alleged to have <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443713704577601761419069098.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection">misled mortgage investors</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Citi</strong> became the first U.S. lender to issue it's own <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-21/citigroup-issues-sole-brand-china-credit-card-as-rules-ease-1-.html">credit card</a> in China, Bloomberg reports.</p>
<p><strong>George Soros</strong> disclosed a <a href="http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/08/20/soros-acquires-stake-in-manchester-united/">7.85 percent stake</a> in Manchester United, the British soccer club that began trading on New York Stock Exchange on Aug. 10.</p>
<p>Felix Salmon says <strong>Man U's</strong> fluctuating share price is another <a href="http://www.felixsalmon.com/2012/08/man-us-weird-share-price/">good argument</a> to keep investors away from initial public offerings.</p>
<p>The regulator tasked with overseeing audits of brokerage firms such as Peregrine Financial Group, the Iowa-based futures broker that shuttered last month after it's founder attempted suicide, has <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/21/business/accounting-board-faults-audits-of-brokerage-firms.html">disturbing news</a>, Floyd Norris reports in <em>The Times. </em>Every audit reviewed by <strong>Public Company Accounting Oversight Board </strong>inspectors showed a failure to take proper efforts to verify financial statements or ensure that the audited firms had sufficient capital on hand.</p>
<p>Since the London Whale capsized <strong>Jamie Dimon's</strong> reputation, Wall Street has struggled to put forth a <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-08-20/wall-street-leaderless-in-rules-fight-as-dimon-diminished.html">replacement statesmen</a>, according to Bloomberg.</p>
<p>Despite new law that may allow <strong>IPO bankers</strong> to publish research on offerings they underwrite as soon as, or even before, shares begin trading, banks have informally agreed to a <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444233104577591773919525202.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection">quiet period of 25 days</a>, <em>The Wall Street Journal</em> reports.</p>
<p>In an about face, <strong>Warren Buffett's</strong> Berkshire Hathaway <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390443855804577601413630604118.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTWhatsNewsCollection">terminated $8.25 billion</a> in credit default swaps on municipal debt. If Mr. Buffett has doubts about munis, should you too?</p>
<p><strong>Best Buy</strong> reported second-quarter profit fell <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/news/best-buy-2q-profit-drops-122229345.html">90 percent</a> on restructuring charges and week sales. Good news for Richard Schulze?</p>
<p>Spain's short-term borrowing costs fell as markets bet that the <strong>European Central Bank</strong> would <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/48734760">intervene</a> in sovereign debt markets.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Core Investors Unfazed by Global Crisis and  Domestic Imprudence</title>

		<comments>http://observer.com/2011/11/core-investors-unfazed-by-global-crisis-and-domestic-imprudence/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 Nov 2011 14:00:47 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://observer.com/2011/11/core-investors-unfazed-by-global-crisis-and-domestic-imprudence/</link>
			<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.observer.com/?p=199937</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The potential for disruptions to global financial stability increased heading into last weekend. In Europe, both Germany and the European Central Bank rejected calls to expand the bailout to include large-scale bond purchases, insisting instead that the latter’s credibility depends upon its prioritization of price stability.</p>
<p>At a gathering of the Frankfurt Banking Conference, German Bundesbank president and European Central Bank Governing Council member Jens Weidmann said on Friday that “the economic costs of any form of monetary financing of public debts and deficits outweigh its benefits so clearly that it will not help to stabilize the current situation.”</p>
<p><!--more--></p>
<p><div id="attachment_199938" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 260px"><a rel="attachment wp-att-199938" href="http://www.observer.com/2011/11/core-investors-unfazed-by-global-crisis-and-domestic-imprudence/blitt-chandan-15/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-199938" title="Blitt - Chandan" src="http://nyoobserver.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/blitt-chandan2.jpg?w=250&h=300" alt="" width="250" height="300" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Sam Chandan.</p></div></p>
<p>Dr. Weidmann declined to comment when asked if the bank had furtively adopted limits on its weekly purchases of eurozone members’ government bonds. The meeting’s air of ambivalence in addressing the continent’s crisis coincided with concessions on the growth outlook. In his first public address as ECB president, Mario Draghi opened his remarks by stating that “downside risks to the economic outlook have increased.”</p>
<p>The positions emerging from their most recent meeting suggest that Europe’s leadership is ultimately unwilling to install a credible backstop should the crisis engulf other nations. The significance of the European threat for the global outlook is reflected in the reactivity of equity indices in the United States, where markets have been whipsawed by daily shifts in the tenor of news emerging from across the pond. After resuming a measure of normalcy, the VIX spiked during the 11th hour of the summer’s budget debate in Washington and has been elevated ever since.</p>
<p>Somewhat brighter economic data have not mollified investor skittishness. Over the next days and weeks, attention will also be focused on domestic affairs and the seeming incapacity of congressional leaders to achieve compromise. While debt talks remain fluid and the true state of discussions remain wittingly hidden from the voting public, it is increasingly likely that the goals set for the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction in August will be abandoned.</p>
<p>The utter failure of America’s divided leadership is unconscionable, as is the continuing pretense of well-functioning democratic institutions. And yet, while the domestic scenario bears an uncomfortable resemblance to diegeses in the nations we condescend to instruct in governance, the market mechanisms that are critical to disciplining the latter are loathe to rebuke the United States for its shockingly myopic behavior. As the relatively safest harbor during a time of exaggerated risk and risk aversion, our markets have seen an influx of capital even though some of the most far-reaching sources of instability are rooted here. The 10-year Treasury closed the week at a yield of just over 2 percent. Meanwhile, the TED spread, which proxies for risk aversion, has risen to its highest level since mid-2010.</p>
<p><!--nextpage-->The desirability of American assets is not limited to the practically risk-free obligations of the Treasury. In the shadow of macro developments, core property investment and credit flows are rather robust. Investors’ determination that current prices reflect a discount on long-term cash flow and appreciation has been readily apparent over just the past two weeks. The Wall Street Journal reported last Wednesday that Equity Residential had taken the pole position in bidding for a majority stake in Archstone. The former’s $2.5 bid values Archstone at $4.7 billion—just $61,250 per unit—in a reflection of corporate structure and debt encumbrance issues that weigh on the underlying real estate. On a smaller and more idiosyncratic scale, Equity Group and Hilton’s Waldorf Astoria were reported last week to have acquired Chicago’s Elysian Hotel for approximately $95 million.</p>
<p>Apart from the recent litany of transactions priced above $100 million, a broader range of sales and development activity is supported by commercial mortgage lenders eager to see their resources deployed. At the extreme, Simon Property Group this month offered $1.2 billion in senior unsecured notes. The notes due in 2017 carry a $2.8 percent coupon, less than 200 basis points over the comparably termed 5-year Treasury and barely 80 basis points over the 10-year rate. The secured debt market trends are reflected in several recent originations, including a $360 million, 4.6 percent refinancing by MetLife for the Park Meadows shopping center just outside Dallas. Favorable financing is not the sole purview of the largest assets. The retired debt carried an interest rate of just less than 6 percent. In Cambridge, Mass., Marcone Capital arranged Cambridge Savings Bank’s $16 million financing for the Porter Square Galleria at just 4 percent. At 4.25 percent, JP Morgan Chase provided $6.5 million to refinance a four-building industrial asset in Burbank, in greater Los Angeles.</p>
<p>Property investors and lenders are necessarily assuming a degree of risk in their current activities. These risks relate to the interest rate environment and potential for inflation. While the latter may be internalized by properties with healthy fundamentals, the debt market will struggle to cope with higher interest rates should global or domestic conditions require higher baseline yields on U.S. debt. In the multifamily sector in particular, going-in spreads are no longer wide by historical standards. Apart from these capital and credit market issues, the broader threats to the economic recovery cannot be ruled out as challenges to still-fragile absorption trends. That should be cause for concern among credit risk officers and cycle-minded investment strategists, since an acceleration of fundamentals underpin the renewed tolerance for risk-taking and investors’ increasingly frequent fits of bravado.<br />
<em>dsc@chandan.com</em></p>
<p><em>Sam Chandan, Ph.D., is president and chief economist of Chandan Economics and an adjunct professor at the Wharton School.</em></p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The potential for disruptions to global financial stability increased heading into last weekend. In Europe, both Germany and the European Central Bank rejected calls to expand the bailout to include large-scale bond purchases, insisting instead that the latter’s credibility depends upon its prioritization of price stability.</p>
<p>At a gathering of the Frankfurt Banking Conference, German Bundesbank president and European Central Bank Governing Council member Jens Weidmann said on Friday that “the economic costs of any form of monetary financing of public debts and deficits outweigh its benefits so clearly that it will not help to stabilize the current situation.”</p>
<p><!--more--></p>
<p><div id="attachment_199938" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 260px"><a rel="attachment wp-att-199938" href="http://www.observer.com/2011/11/core-investors-unfazed-by-global-crisis-and-domestic-imprudence/blitt-chandan-15/"><img class="size-medium wp-image-199938" title="Blitt - Chandan" src="http://nyoobserver.files.wordpress.com/2011/11/blitt-chandan2.jpg?w=250&h=300" alt="" width="250" height="300" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Sam Chandan.</p></div></p>
<p>Dr. Weidmann declined to comment when asked if the bank had furtively adopted limits on its weekly purchases of eurozone members’ government bonds. The meeting’s air of ambivalence in addressing the continent’s crisis coincided with concessions on the growth outlook. In his first public address as ECB president, Mario Draghi opened his remarks by stating that “downside risks to the economic outlook have increased.”</p>
<p>The positions emerging from their most recent meeting suggest that Europe’s leadership is ultimately unwilling to install a credible backstop should the crisis engulf other nations. The significance of the European threat for the global outlook is reflected in the reactivity of equity indices in the United States, where markets have been whipsawed by daily shifts in the tenor of news emerging from across the pond. After resuming a measure of normalcy, the VIX spiked during the 11th hour of the summer’s budget debate in Washington and has been elevated ever since.</p>
<p>Somewhat brighter economic data have not mollified investor skittishness. Over the next days and weeks, attention will also be focused on domestic affairs and the seeming incapacity of congressional leaders to achieve compromise. While debt talks remain fluid and the true state of discussions remain wittingly hidden from the voting public, it is increasingly likely that the goals set for the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction in August will be abandoned.</p>
<p>The utter failure of America’s divided leadership is unconscionable, as is the continuing pretense of well-functioning democratic institutions. And yet, while the domestic scenario bears an uncomfortable resemblance to diegeses in the nations we condescend to instruct in governance, the market mechanisms that are critical to disciplining the latter are loathe to rebuke the United States for its shockingly myopic behavior. As the relatively safest harbor during a time of exaggerated risk and risk aversion, our markets have seen an influx of capital even though some of the most far-reaching sources of instability are rooted here. The 10-year Treasury closed the week at a yield of just over 2 percent. Meanwhile, the TED spread, which proxies for risk aversion, has risen to its highest level since mid-2010.</p>
<p><!--nextpage-->The desirability of American assets is not limited to the practically risk-free obligations of the Treasury. In the shadow of macro developments, core property investment and credit flows are rather robust. Investors’ determination that current prices reflect a discount on long-term cash flow and appreciation has been readily apparent over just the past two weeks. The Wall Street Journal reported last Wednesday that Equity Residential had taken the pole position in bidding for a majority stake in Archstone. The former’s $2.5 bid values Archstone at $4.7 billion—just $61,250 per unit—in a reflection of corporate structure and debt encumbrance issues that weigh on the underlying real estate. On a smaller and more idiosyncratic scale, Equity Group and Hilton’s Waldorf Astoria were reported last week to have acquired Chicago’s Elysian Hotel for approximately $95 million.</p>
<p>Apart from the recent litany of transactions priced above $100 million, a broader range of sales and development activity is supported by commercial mortgage lenders eager to see their resources deployed. At the extreme, Simon Property Group this month offered $1.2 billion in senior unsecured notes. The notes due in 2017 carry a $2.8 percent coupon, less than 200 basis points over the comparably termed 5-year Treasury and barely 80 basis points over the 10-year rate. The secured debt market trends are reflected in several recent originations, including a $360 million, 4.6 percent refinancing by MetLife for the Park Meadows shopping center just outside Dallas. Favorable financing is not the sole purview of the largest assets. The retired debt carried an interest rate of just less than 6 percent. In Cambridge, Mass., Marcone Capital arranged Cambridge Savings Bank’s $16 million financing for the Porter Square Galleria at just 4 percent. At 4.25 percent, JP Morgan Chase provided $6.5 million to refinance a four-building industrial asset in Burbank, in greater Los Angeles.</p>
<p>Property investors and lenders are necessarily assuming a degree of risk in their current activities. These risks relate to the interest rate environment and potential for inflation. While the latter may be internalized by properties with healthy fundamentals, the debt market will struggle to cope with higher interest rates should global or domestic conditions require higher baseline yields on U.S. debt. In the multifamily sector in particular, going-in spreads are no longer wide by historical standards. Apart from these capital and credit market issues, the broader threats to the economic recovery cannot be ruled out as challenges to still-fragile absorption trends. That should be cause for concern among credit risk officers and cycle-minded investment strategists, since an acceleration of fundamentals underpin the renewed tolerance for risk-taking and investors’ increasingly frequent fits of bravado.<br />
<em>dsc@chandan.com</em></p>
<p><em>Sam Chandan, Ph.D., is president and chief economist of Chandan Economics and an adjunct professor at the Wharton School.</em></p>
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		<title>Morning Roundup: Business Grads, This Could Be Your Year!</title>

		<comments>http://observer.com/2010/11/morning-roundup-business-grads-this-could-be-your-year/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Nov 2010 11:59:56 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://observer.com/2010/11/morning-roundup-business-grads-this-could-be-your-year/</link>
			<dc:creator>Mike Taylor</dc:creator>
				
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		<description><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" src="http://nyoobserver.files.wordpress.com/2011/06/wallstreet29_10.jpg?w=233&h=300" />
<ul>
<li>More graduates of MBA programs are finding jobs this year, but fat paychecks and practical-joke-sized signing bonuses have yet to return to vogue. [<a href="http://www.businessweek.com/bschools/content/nov2010/bs2010114_039499.htm">BBW</a>]</li>
<li>The Commodities Futures Trading Commission is not the wastrel federal institutio0n it once was, but it may still lack the resources to oversee the derivatives markets it is now charged with regulating. [<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/11/05/business/05commodity.html?_r=1&amp;ref=business">NYT</a>]</li>
<li>Unlike the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank is not exceptionally enthusiastic about pouring unprecedented amounts of money into the financial system. [<a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703805704575594083219715888.html?mod=WSJ_business_LeftSecondHighlights">WSJ</a>]</li>
<li>Ex-Federal Reserve chair Paul Volcker isn't convinced that the Fed's $600 billion quantitative easing plan will light a fire under the proverbial backside of our stagnant economy. [<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/05/AR2010110500211.html">AP</a>]</li>
<li>The Federal Reserve may soon chill out a little bit about big banks paying dividends to their investors. [<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6A35V120101104?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+reuters%2FbusinessNews+%28News+%2F+US+%2F+Business+News%29">Reuters</a>]</li>
</ul>
<p>mtaylor [at] observer.com | <a href="http://twitter.com/mbrookstaylor">@mbrookstaylor</a></p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" src="http://nyoobserver.files.wordpress.com/2011/06/wallstreet29_10.jpg?w=233&h=300" />
<ul>
<li>More graduates of MBA programs are finding jobs this year, but fat paychecks and practical-joke-sized signing bonuses have yet to return to vogue. [<a href="http://www.businessweek.com/bschools/content/nov2010/bs2010114_039499.htm">BBW</a>]</li>
<li>The Commodities Futures Trading Commission is not the wastrel federal institutio0n it once was, but it may still lack the resources to oversee the derivatives markets it is now charged with regulating. [<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/11/05/business/05commodity.html?_r=1&amp;ref=business">NYT</a>]</li>
<li>Unlike the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank is not exceptionally enthusiastic about pouring unprecedented amounts of money into the financial system. [<a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703805704575594083219715888.html?mod=WSJ_business_LeftSecondHighlights">WSJ</a>]</li>
<li>Ex-Federal Reserve chair Paul Volcker isn't convinced that the Fed's $600 billion quantitative easing plan will light a fire under the proverbial backside of our stagnant economy. [<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/11/05/AR2010110500211.html">AP</a>]</li>
<li>The Federal Reserve may soon chill out a little bit about big banks paying dividends to their investors. [<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE6A35V120101104?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+reuters%2FbusinessNews+%28News+%2F+US+%2F+Business+News%29">Reuters</a>]</li>
</ul>
<p>mtaylor [at] observer.com | <a href="http://twitter.com/mbrookstaylor">@mbrookstaylor</a></p>
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