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	<title>Observer &#187; Naval War College</title>
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		<title>Observer &#187; Naval War College</title>
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		<title>Bobby Ray Inman on Israel&#8217;s Security as the Motivator for Iraq War</title>

		<comments>http://observer.com/2006/06/bobby-ray-inman-on-israels-security-as-the-motivator-for-iraq-war/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Jun 2006 11:10:01 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://observer.com/2006/06/bobby-ray-inman-on-israels-security-as-the-motivator-for-iraq-war/</link>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Peter Voskamp, the editor of the <em>Block Island (R.I.) Times</em>, <a href="http://www.blockislandtimes.com/news/2006/0624/News/024.html">has reaffirmed </a>my <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/06/authors-of-israel-lobby-paper-get-warm-reception-at-military.html">report that there was political pressure </a>to keep Walt &amp; Mearsheimer, the authors of <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3501">the bombshell paper </a>criticizing the Israel lobby, from speaking at the Naval War College in Newport 2 weeks back: </p>
<div class="oldbq">The [Israel lobby] paper was essentially off-limits for discussion at last week's forum. The [War College] Public Affairs Office confirmed that the college had received pressure from unnamed Congressmen to cancel the professors' appearance. </div>
<p>Voskamp is an enterprising journalist. As a grad student at University of Texas/Austin 3-1/2 years ago, he interviewed Admiral <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bobby_Inman">Bobby Ray Inman</a>, the former deputy director of the CIA, now a professor of national policy at UT, and asked him whether oil interests were pushing for war in Iraq.<br />
<!--break--></p>
<div class="oldbq">PV: I've been reading on the internet--in some respected places and in some less respected places -- that part of the motivation for the U.S. and Britain in this current situation in Iraq is over the question of oil trading currency.</p>
<p>BRI:  It's just not valid.  Iraq is not about oil.  Iraq is about, on the one side, weapons of mass destruction, the U.N. and disarmament.  And on the other one, goes back to '96, Richard Perle's study -- Institute for Advanced Political Studies --and the absolute dedication that Wolfowitz, Feith, Perle, Rumsfeld, Wurmser, Bolton, others have had ever since '96 on regime change.  And that was the way you guarantee Israel's security.  I don't know if you've ever read <a href="http://www.iasps.org/strat1.htm">the original Perle study</a>, it's available on the internet.  I think he concluded that land for peace isn't going to guarantee Israel's security. Oslo Accords won't.  Therefore you should get rid of them.  Instead, go for regime change.  That will automatically cause the Syria and Saudi Arabia regimes to fall and change.  First, I'm not sure the domino theory really works in those, but none of it was about oil.  Now, even if Iraq changes, I don't think Syria will....When issues come up about Saudi Arabia they are 90-95% driven by oil.  The only [area] where oil plays a part in the Iraq situation is that comfort that Iraq can be rapidly be rebuilt by its own oil revenues as opposed to a large amount of foreign aid.  I hope that's true.  I don't see where the exit is or even how you're going to build a new government.  But maybe if you get all that oil flowing into the marketplace....</div>
<p>Voskamp conducted the interview as a researcher for journalist <a href="http://www.robertbryce.com/">Robert Bryce </a>for his book, <a href="http://www.powells.com/cgi-bin/biblio?inkey=62-1586481886-0">"Cronies: Oil, the Bushes, and the rise of Texas, America's Superstate</a>." The comments weren't printed in that book. I called Inman to see if he minded my making them public. He said No, and elaborated on them:</p>
<p>"Oil has everything to do with our relationship with Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates. Where Iraq is concerned, our policy has everything to do with Israel's long-term security."</p>
<p>But is this a conspiracy theory? How did people who care about Israel affect our policy visavis war in Iraq?</p>
<p>"Because they were persuasive and they were dedicated in making their case. They ended up in very strategic positions in the Vice President's office, the NSA, and the Defense Department. They fervently believed, and in the absence of opposing views [after 9/11] they carried the day.... [Today] they are no longer a unified bloc with power. .. The terrible failure to plan for Iraq after the removal of Saddam Hussein has discredited their view about how to bring peace to the Mideast."</p>
<p>Are you talking about dual loyalty?</p>
<p>"No. It's about fervor. Zealots often carry the day. They are U.S.A. loyalists. But their vision of the Mideast, and how to secure peace in the Mideast, is shaped by concern for Israel's longterm security... Myself, I don't think you will ever get security in the Mideast until you have what on the surface appears to be fair to both sides. You have to have leaders committed to peace, on both sides. One side can't impose a solution."</p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Peter Voskamp, the editor of the <em>Block Island (R.I.) Times</em>, <a href="http://www.blockislandtimes.com/news/2006/0624/News/024.html">has reaffirmed </a>my <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/06/authors-of-israel-lobby-paper-get-warm-reception-at-military.html">report that there was political pressure </a>to keep Walt &amp; Mearsheimer, the authors of <a href="http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3501">the bombshell paper </a>criticizing the Israel lobby, from speaking at the Naval War College in Newport 2 weeks back: </p>
<div class="oldbq">The [Israel lobby] paper was essentially off-limits for discussion at last week's forum. The [War College] Public Affairs Office confirmed that the college had received pressure from unnamed Congressmen to cancel the professors' appearance. </div>
<p>Voskamp is an enterprising journalist. As a grad student at University of Texas/Austin 3-1/2 years ago, he interviewed Admiral <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bobby_Inman">Bobby Ray Inman</a>, the former deputy director of the CIA, now a professor of national policy at UT, and asked him whether oil interests were pushing for war in Iraq.<br />
<!--break--></p>
<div class="oldbq">PV: I've been reading on the internet--in some respected places and in some less respected places -- that part of the motivation for the U.S. and Britain in this current situation in Iraq is over the question of oil trading currency.</p>
<p>BRI:  It's just not valid.  Iraq is not about oil.  Iraq is about, on the one side, weapons of mass destruction, the U.N. and disarmament.  And on the other one, goes back to '96, Richard Perle's study -- Institute for Advanced Political Studies --and the absolute dedication that Wolfowitz, Feith, Perle, Rumsfeld, Wurmser, Bolton, others have had ever since '96 on regime change.  And that was the way you guarantee Israel's security.  I don't know if you've ever read <a href="http://www.iasps.org/strat1.htm">the original Perle study</a>, it's available on the internet.  I think he concluded that land for peace isn't going to guarantee Israel's security. Oslo Accords won't.  Therefore you should get rid of them.  Instead, go for regime change.  That will automatically cause the Syria and Saudi Arabia regimes to fall and change.  First, I'm not sure the domino theory really works in those, but none of it was about oil.  Now, even if Iraq changes, I don't think Syria will....When issues come up about Saudi Arabia they are 90-95% driven by oil.  The only [area] where oil plays a part in the Iraq situation is that comfort that Iraq can be rapidly be rebuilt by its own oil revenues as opposed to a large amount of foreign aid.  I hope that's true.  I don't see where the exit is or even how you're going to build a new government.  But maybe if you get all that oil flowing into the marketplace....</div>
<p>Voskamp conducted the interview as a researcher for journalist <a href="http://www.robertbryce.com/">Robert Bryce </a>for his book, <a href="http://www.powells.com/cgi-bin/biblio?inkey=62-1586481886-0">"Cronies: Oil, the Bushes, and the rise of Texas, America's Superstate</a>." The comments weren't printed in that book. I called Inman to see if he minded my making them public. He said No, and elaborated on them:</p>
<p>"Oil has everything to do with our relationship with Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates. Where Iraq is concerned, our policy has everything to do with Israel's long-term security."</p>
<p>But is this a conspiracy theory? How did people who care about Israel affect our policy visavis war in Iraq?</p>
<p>"Because they were persuasive and they were dedicated in making their case. They ended up in very strategic positions in the Vice President's office, the NSA, and the Defense Department. They fervently believed, and in the absence of opposing views [after 9/11] they carried the day.... [Today] they are no longer a unified bloc with power. .. The terrible failure to plan for Iraq after the removal of Saddam Hussein has discredited their view about how to bring peace to the Mideast."</p>
<p>Are you talking about dual loyalty?</p>
<p>"No. It's about fervor. Zealots often carry the day. They are U.S.A. loyalists. But their vision of the Mideast, and how to secure peace in the Mideast, is shaped by concern for Israel's longterm security... Myself, I don't think you will ever get security in the Mideast until you have what on the surface appears to be fair to both sides. You have to have leaders committed to peace, on both sides. One side can't impose a solution."</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Fears Grow Over Peak Oil</title>

		<comments>http://observer.com/2006/06/fears-grow-over-peak-oil/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Jun 2006 09:09:17 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://observer.com/2006/06/fears-grow-over-peak-oil/</link>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>On Charlie Rose (rebroadcast yesterday), oilman-turned-hedgefunder <a href="http://www.charlierose.com/thisweek.shtm">Boone Pickens </a>added his voice to the <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/05/a-prophet-without-honor-in-congress.html">Roscoe Bartlett </a>camp, saying we have passed the <a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/">peak of oil production </a>and will be facing shortages. The optimistic Pickens spoke of "rough times" with $100-a-barrel oil, but steered clear of predicting catastrophe. </p>
<p>Yet another voice belongs to Navy Secretary <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/06/the-new-navy-secretary-an-internationalist-with-heart.html">Don Winter,</a> who warned last week at the Naval War College that just recently, the "fear factor" coming from the spike in oil prices had made an impact in the world economy "in the billions." In the subsequent press conference, I asked Winter whether Roscoe Bartlett wasn't a prophet, in his belief that unless we start conserving now, there will be civil disruptions over oil. "I've talked to the congressman, I've had several engagements with him," Winter, a fellow engineer, said, and though he stopped short of endorsing the Bartlett view, said, "A lot of what he has said has come true." Hark.</p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On Charlie Rose (rebroadcast yesterday), oilman-turned-hedgefunder <a href="http://www.charlierose.com/thisweek.shtm">Boone Pickens </a>added his voice to the <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/05/a-prophet-without-honor-in-congress.html">Roscoe Bartlett </a>camp, saying we have passed the <a href="http://www.energybulletin.net/">peak of oil production </a>and will be facing shortages. The optimistic Pickens spoke of "rough times" with $100-a-barrel oil, but steered clear of predicting catastrophe. </p>
<p>Yet another voice belongs to Navy Secretary <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/06/the-new-navy-secretary-an-internationalist-with-heart.html">Don Winter,</a> who warned last week at the Naval War College that just recently, the "fear factor" coming from the spike in oil prices had made an impact in the world economy "in the billions." In the subsequent press conference, I asked Winter whether Roscoe Bartlett wasn't a prophet, in his belief that unless we start conserving now, there will be civil disruptions over oil. "I've talked to the congressman, I've had several engagements with him," Winter, a fellow engineer, said, and though he stopped short of endorsing the Bartlett view, said, "A lot of what he has said has come true." Hark.</p>
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		<title>The New Navy Secretary: An Internationalist With Heart</title>

		<comments>http://observer.com/2006/06/the-new-navy-secretary-an-internationalist-with-heart/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jun 2006 11:26:22 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://observer.com/2006/06/the-new-navy-secretary-an-internationalist-with-heart/</link>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p><img alt="DSCF0388.JPG" src="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/DSCF0388-thumb.JPG" width="300" height="400" /><br />Donald Winter</p>
<p>This is the new secretary of the Navy, Donald C. Winter, sworn in a few months ago. He opened up the Naval War College's conference on strategy that I attended Tuesday in Rhode Island, and when I heard that he was a former VP at Northrop Grumman, I was prepared to write him off. </p>
<p>Then he spoke. Winter is charming, fast on his feet and extremely impressive. He would seem to represent a new spirit in the Bush Administration, of do-good internationalism. For he stressed that a central function of the Navy is humanitarian assistance and disaster relief. </p>
<div class="oldbq">Bringing a white ship even into a Muslim area, it is recognized as a peaceful mission. And bringing in NGOs only heightens that understanding...Public opinion about the US in particular but also about the western world in general is materially affected as these people see us for what we really are....There's a natural shaping of hearts and minds in favor of the U.S.... </div>
<p>At a subsequent press conference, a reporter asked why we should be using the Navy "for the new Peace Corps and new Red Cross around the world." </p>
<p>Winter responded with ease and vigor. "I would not tend to characterize it that way. We have a new set of responsibilities around the world. And this is a win/win. We're helping, and I think the sailors love doing this."</p>
<p>Navy people, he said, get a lot more satisfaction from bailing people out after the tsunami than from more traditional functions. Aye-aye, sir.</p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img alt="DSCF0388.JPG" src="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/DSCF0388-thumb.JPG" width="300" height="400" /><br />Donald Winter</p>
<p>This is the new secretary of the Navy, Donald C. Winter, sworn in a few months ago. He opened up the Naval War College's conference on strategy that I attended Tuesday in Rhode Island, and when I heard that he was a former VP at Northrop Grumman, I was prepared to write him off. </p>
<p>Then he spoke. Winter is charming, fast on his feet and extremely impressive. He would seem to represent a new spirit in the Bush Administration, of do-good internationalism. For he stressed that a central function of the Navy is humanitarian assistance and disaster relief. </p>
<div class="oldbq">Bringing a white ship even into a Muslim area, it is recognized as a peaceful mission. And bringing in NGOs only heightens that understanding...Public opinion about the US in particular but also about the western world in general is materially affected as these people see us for what we really are....There's a natural shaping of hearts and minds in favor of the U.S.... </div>
<p>At a subsequent press conference, a reporter asked why we should be using the Navy "for the new Peace Corps and new Red Cross around the world." </p>
<p>Winter responded with ease and vigor. "I would not tend to characterize it that way. We have a new set of responsibilities around the world. And this is a win/win. We're helping, and I think the sailors love doing this."</p>
<p>Navy people, he said, get a lot more satisfaction from bailing people out after the tsunami than from more traditional functions. Aye-aye, sir.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Patting Myself on the Back, and Others, Too</title>

		<comments>http://observer.com/2006/06/patting-myself-on-the-back-and-others-too/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jun 2006 10:20:45 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://observer.com/2006/06/patting-myself-on-the-back-and-others-too/</link>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>The item I did on John Mearsheimer's talk at the Naval War College in which he likened Iraq to The Plague has generated <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/06/at-us-naval-war-college-scholar-likens-iraq-to-plague.html">a great deal of comment, </a>all favorable. Frankly, I'm honored to have gotten his words out to a wider audience and learned, through this process, of what a sophisticated military our country has. Props to Mearsheimer and the men and women in white!</p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The item I did on John Mearsheimer's talk at the Naval War College in which he likened Iraq to The Plague has generated <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/06/at-us-naval-war-college-scholar-likens-iraq-to-plague.html">a great deal of comment, </a>all favorable. Frankly, I'm honored to have gotten his words out to a wider audience and learned, through this process, of what a sophisticated military our country has. Props to Mearsheimer and the men and women in white!</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Authors of Israel Lobby Paper Get Warm Reception at Military College</title>

		<comments>http://observer.com/2006/06/authors-of-israel-lobby-paper-get-warm-reception-at-military-college/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Jun 2006 14:07:25 -0400</pubDate>
					<link>http://observer.com/2006/06/authors-of-israel-lobby-paper-get-warm-reception-at-military-college/</link>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p><img alt="DSCF0395.JPG" src="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/DSCF0395-thumb.JPG" width="450" height="312" /><br />Harvard's Stephen Walt, being taped by a midshipman</p>
<p>The reason I went to the Naval War College was to hear Stephen Walt and John Mearsheimer, authors of the <a href="http://www.lrb.co.uk/v28/n06/mear01_.html">controversial paper on the Israel lobby</a>, address an audience of officers and experts at the Navy's 57th annual Current Strategy Forum. It's remarkable when you think about it. Back in April, Harvard people were saying they were going to have all kinds of forums on the paper&#151;to denounce it, as Hillel director <a href="http://www.thenation.com/doc/20060515/weiss">Bernard Steinberg told me</a>. Well, no forums. There's been an embarrassed silence. And as has been argued <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/06/not-talking-about-mearsheimer-walt.html">here before</a>, that probably stems from the fact that there is strong underground support for the paper's findings, including its assertion that the disastrous decision to invade Iraq came partly out of pro-Israel pressure. Yes, that's hard to talk about.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, (as <a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5353855">Col. Larry Wilkerson has already </a>indicated) the military is listening.<br />
<!--break--><br />
It was evident to me during my visit that many at the Naval War College were familiar with the paper. By one report, the College came under pressure from an unnamed congressman to cancel the talk, but the College stuck by its cannonballs. And no, Walt and Mearsheimer weren't there to talk about the lobby&#151;but the subject sure came up. A Lieutenant Commander Wilson rose to ask about the paper, wondering "how the Palestinians can combat the Israelis' foreign influence in the United States."</p>
<p>Mearsheimer used the question as an opportunity to say that the United States must not side with Israel on the question of unilateral disengagement from the West Bank. </p>
<div class="oldbq">You're likely to see a situation in which the Israelis try to impose a settlement on the Palestinians. I think the Israel lobby will work hand-in-hand with the Israelis to push that approach. It think it is <em>not </em>in America's interest and I think it is <em>not</em> in Israel's interests. And for that reason, I think the Israel lobby is not good, not only for the United States but for Israel. </div>
<p>After the talk, another lieutenant commander came up to the authors with a bound copy of the paper, and had the authors sign it. Alan Dershowitz's <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/04/02/AR2006040201039.html">assertion</a> that the two had "destroyed their professional reputations" was not supported by this event in Rhode Island. When it comes to the strategic military community, they're doing fine.</p>
]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img alt="DSCF0395.JPG" src="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/DSCF0395-thumb.JPG" width="450" height="312" /><br />Harvard's Stephen Walt, being taped by a midshipman</p>
<p>The reason I went to the Naval War College was to hear Stephen Walt and John Mearsheimer, authors of the <a href="http://www.lrb.co.uk/v28/n06/mear01_.html">controversial paper on the Israel lobby</a>, address an audience of officers and experts at the Navy's 57th annual Current Strategy Forum. It's remarkable when you think about it. Back in April, Harvard people were saying they were going to have all kinds of forums on the paper&#151;to denounce it, as Hillel director <a href="http://www.thenation.com/doc/20060515/weiss">Bernard Steinberg told me</a>. Well, no forums. There's been an embarrassed silence. And as has been argued <a href="http://mondoweiss.observer.com/2006/06/not-talking-about-mearsheimer-walt.html">here before</a>, that probably stems from the fact that there is strong underground support for the paper's findings, including its assertion that the disastrous decision to invade Iraq came partly out of pro-Israel pressure. Yes, that's hard to talk about.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, (as <a href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5353855">Col. Larry Wilkerson has already </a>indicated) the military is listening.<br />
<!--break--><br />
It was evident to me during my visit that many at the Naval War College were familiar with the paper. By one report, the College came under pressure from an unnamed congressman to cancel the talk, but the College stuck by its cannonballs. And no, Walt and Mearsheimer weren't there to talk about the lobby&#151;but the subject sure came up. A Lieutenant Commander Wilson rose to ask about the paper, wondering "how the Palestinians can combat the Israelis' foreign influence in the United States."</p>
<p>Mearsheimer used the question as an opportunity to say that the United States must not side with Israel on the question of unilateral disengagement from the West Bank. </p>
<div class="oldbq">You're likely to see a situation in which the Israelis try to impose a settlement on the Palestinians. I think the Israel lobby will work hand-in-hand with the Israelis to push that approach. It think it is <em>not </em>in America's interest and I think it is <em>not</em> in Israel's interests. And for that reason, I think the Israel lobby is not good, not only for the United States but for Israel. </div>
<p>After the talk, another lieutenant commander came up to the authors with a bound copy of the paper, and had the authors sign it. Alan Dershowitz's <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/04/02/AR2006040201039.html">assertion</a> that the two had "destroyed their professional reputations" was not supported by this event in Rhode Island. When it comes to the strategic military community, they're doing fine.</p>
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