The Tall Man Cometh
The question for Tuesday–at least according to the latest polls–is not whether Bill de Blasio will come in first, but whether he’ll face a runoff with Bill Thompson or Christine Quinn.
The city’s public advocate remains far ahead of his mayoral rivals a day before the primary, according to two new polls out last night and this morning. But one shows Mr. Thompson gaining steam.
Mayoral candidate Bill de Blasio has surpassed the 40 percent he needs to win the Democratic nomination without a runoff, at least according to the latest poll.
New Quinnipiac University numbers put the front-running Mr. de Blasio far ahead of the competition, with the support of 43 percent of likely voters. Former Comptroller Bill Thompson and City Council Speaker Christine Quinn are battling it out for second, the poll shows, with 20 percent and 18 percent of the vote, respectively.
And former Congressman Anthony Weiner remains far behind, with 7 percent, trailed by Comptroller John Liu with 4 percent, according to the poll, which comes exactly one week from primary day.
A day after two polls came out showing ex-Gov. Eliot Spitzer’s once-commanding lead in the comptroller’s race had vanished, another new poll tells quite a different story.
A New York Times poll released today found that Mr. Spitzer is still leading his opponent, Manhattan Borough President Scott Stringer, 50 to 35 percent among likely voters–a far cry from yesterday’s Quinnipiac poll, showing them tied, and another, from amNewYork and News 12 Long Island, showing them locked in a dead heat less than two weeks before the September 10 Democratic primary.
If there was any question that Bill de Blasio is the mayoral race’s new front-runner, there isn’t any more.
A new poll conducted by Quinnipiac University has the city’s public advocate with 36 percent of the likely Democratic vote, placing him within reaching distance of avoiding a widely-expected runoff election.
On the day Scott Stringer debuted his first television ad of the comptroller’s race, former Gov. Eliot Spitzer opened up a 19-point lead over the Manhattan borough president, according to the latest Quinnipiac poll.
The ex-governor, who resigned in the wake of prostitution scandal five years ago and now faces strong opposition from the Democratic establishment, now leads Mr. Stringer 56 percent to 37 percent, according to the poll. Previously, the firm found a surprisingly close, 4–point race between the two.
Just weeks ago, Public Advocate Bill de Blasio’s campaign appeared to be treading water.
He was behind in the public polls. He had failed to unify labor. And the unlikely comeback candidacy of former Congressman Anthony Weiner—another outspoken, progressive with outer borough branding—seemed like the nail in the proverbial coffin, eliminating his path to victory.
But as it turns out, Mr. Weiner’s entry has turned into a blessing for Mr. de Blasio, at least as far as public polling is concerned.
ups and downs
Anthony Weiner’s candidacy is continuing to drop in the wake of revelations that he continued sexting random women long after he resigned from Congress, a new poll out this afternoon confirms. And that’s good news for his Democratic rivals, including Public Advocate Bill de Blasio.
The latest Quinnipiac University numbers show Mr. Weiner trailing the pack in fourth place, with the support of just 16 percent of the likely Democratic voters–a huge slide from his front-runner status just a month ago. And the majority of voters–53 percent–now think he should drop out of the race.
“I do not believe, anymore, that this is once in a lifetime, once in a hundred years, once in a generation or just a fluke,” Governor Andrew Cuomo declared a few days after Sandy blew through town, and it appears many New Yorkers agree with him. A new Quinnipiac poll out today finds that two out of three state residents believe their community will be hit by a serious storm sometime in the next decade.
What is remarkable, then, is that the same poll also found that almost nine out of 10 New Yorkers believe we should rebuild in the areas hit by the superstorm. But most New Yorkers also want to build back with greater resiliency. The poll found that 65 percent of those responding want improved building codes to be implemented before anything is rebuilt in the flood zones, while 23 percent believe communities should be built as they were. Only 8 percent want to prohibit redevelopment.
It’s starting to seem like Mayor Bloomberg is the only one who doesn’t think storm barriers are a worthwhile investment. Not only do Governor Cuomo, MTA chief Joe Lhota and both Jerry Nadler and Chuck Schumer think it’s a good idea, but so do 80 percent of New York City voters, according to a new Quinnipiac poll out today.
They were asked, specifically, if it was worth spending billions—no exact amount, or source of funds beyond the federal and state governments was given—on new waterfront infrastructure. Only 14 percent thought it was not worth the cost. Support was even higher when the pollsters asked if the cost was justified it if the storm protections could “reduce the cost of disruption and restoration.” Then, 88 percent supported the new infrastructure, compared to 6 percent who did not support.
Road Rage, Walmart Wars
Our colleagues at the Politicker dig into a new Quinnipiac poll, which has some interesting results for us over on the real estate desk, namely Bike Lames and the Walmart-osaurus.