Hillary Rodham Clinton and Rudy Giuliani enjoy massive leads among New Jersey primary voters, according to a Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey poll released today. Among Democrats, Clinton leads Barack Obama by a 41%-22% margin, with 13% for John Edwards. Giuliani leads John McCain 49%-19% among GOP primary voters, with Mitt Romney receiving 6%.
The Democrats have a definite gender gap: women back Clinton over Obama, 50%-16%, but among men, it is a virtual dead heat. Open voters who lean toward one of the major parties have a slight preference for McCain and Edwards.
“Turnout will be an interesting, and unpredictable, issue in next year’s primary, with a number of large states holding their contests on the same day” remarked Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. “Moving up the primary date was supposed to make New Jersey more relevant to the process, but the dominance of the two New York candidates may deter other candidates from spending precious campaign resources here.”
The poll surveyed 1,069 registered voters between April 11-16. The margin for error is +/- 4.6% among Democrats and +/- 4.9% among Republicans. New Jersey's presidential primary is scheduled for February 5, 2007.