Redistricting 2011: How to beat Tom Kean

Among the Republican State Senators that New Jersey Democrats would have a special interest in defeating after the 2011 legislative redistricting is Thomas Kean, Jr., the 2006 GOP candidate for United States Senate. And if Kean is successful in ousting Senate Minority Leader Leonard Lance in November, Democrats may have an even greater incentive to force Kean to battle for his own re-election next time.

So, just for fun, PoliticsNJ.com has drawn eight new legislative districts that could, hypothetically, place the former Governor’s son — a resident of Westfield — in harms way after reapportionment. For the purposes of these maps, we used the U.S. Census Bureau’s Estimates of Resident Population by Municipality from 2005, which shows trends of population changes in the state. In 2001, the ideal legislative district was 210,359. According to current estimates, every district would grow to 218,114.

Redistricting is just four years away; the fall ’07 election will be the last time the Senate runs in their current districts. Population growth in New Jersey slightly favors Republicans, but redistricting success comes with considerable planning and strategy – an area where Democrats easily prevailed in 2001.

During the slow summer months, we’ll offer other ideas for legislative redistricting. As always, we encourage our readers to comment, and to draw their own maps.

DISTRICT A: KEAN VS. VITALE

Kean would face Democratic State Sen. Joseph Vitale of Woodbridge in a Middlesex-Union district: Woodbridge, Carteret, Rahway, Clark, Scotch Plains and Westfield.

Population: 217,365; Assembly incumbents: Jon Bramnick (R)

DISTRICT B: KEAN VS. SCUTARI

Kean would face Democratic State Sen. Nicholas Scutari of Linden in a Union County district: Linden, Rahway, Clark, Westfield, Plainfield, Scotch Plains, Fanwood, Mountainside, and Summit.

Population: 218,047; Assembly incumbents: Jon Bramnick (R), Eric Munoz (R), Linda Stender (D), Gerald Green (D)

DISTRICT C: KEAN VS. CODEY

Kean would face Democratic State Senate President (and former Governor) Richard Codey in a Union-Essex district: Westfield, Springfield, Maplewood, South Orange, West Orange, Livingston, Orange, Roseland, Essex Fells, West Caldwell, Verona.

Population: 220,063; Assembly incumbents: Jon Bramnick (R), John McKeon (D), Mims Hackett (D)

DISTRICT D: KEAN VS. LESNIAK

Kean would face Democratic State Senator Raymond Lesniak in a Union County district: Elizabeth, Roselle, Roselle Park, Cranford, Garwood, Westfield.

Population: 216,804; Assembly incumbents: Jon Bramnick (R), Neil Cohen (D)

DISTRICT E: KEAN VS. CRYAN

Kean would face Democratic State Chairman (and Assemblyman) Joseph Cryan in a Union-Essex district: Union, Hillside, Springfield, Kenilworth, Westfield, Summit, New Providence and Irvington.

Population: 221,441; Assembly incumbents: Jon Bramnick (R), Eric Munoz (R), Joseph Cryan (D).

DISTRICT F: KEAN VS. BUONO

Kean would face Democratic State Senator Barbara Buono in a Union-Middlesex district: Westfield, Clark, Garwood, Edison, Metuchen, Milltown and East Brunswick.

Population: 220,014; Assembly incumbents: Jon Bramnick (R), Peter Barnes (D)

DISTRICT G: KEAN VS. O’TOOLE

Kean would face a Republican primary with Kevin O’Toole (who is expected to win a State Senate seat in November) in a Union-Essex-Passaic district: Westfield, Summit, Mountainside, Garwood, Millburn, Livingston, Roseland, West Caldwell, Fairfield, North Caldwell, Cedar Grove, Wayne and Little Falls.

Population: 220,148; Assembly incumbents: Jon Bramnick (R), Eric Munoz (R), possibly Scott Rumana (R)


DISTRICT H: KEAN VS. STENDER

Kean would face Democratic Assemblywoman Linda Stender in a Union-Middlesex-Somerset district: Westfield, Mountainside, Scotch Plains, Fanwood, Plainfield, South Plainfield, Middlesex, Dunellen, Warren, Watchung, North Plainfield, Bound Brook, South Bound Brook.

Population: 216,714; Assembly incumbents: Jon Bramnick (R), Linda Stender (D), Gerald Green (D), Patrick Diegnan (D)

Redistricting 2011: How to beat Tom Kean