McCain jumps over Giuliani in GOP poll

A new poll of 380 past Republican voters likely to vote in the Feb. 5th New Jersey primary shows Sen. John McCain leading former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani by 31-26% with 18% for former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney.

Conducted for a private client on Sunday through Tuesday by Neighborhood Research of Franklin, the survey has a theoretical margin of error of +/- 5.0% in 95% of cases.

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee had 9% and U.S. Rep. Ron Paul had 4% of those surveyed. One percent of voters said they would vote for former Sen. Fred Thompson even though he dropped out Tuesday, and 12% were undecided. Respondents from Sunday and Monday who said they supported Thompson were reinterviewed Tuesday about their new preferences, and prior to dropping out, Thompson was receiving 8 percent of the vote.

"These voters are shifting heavily to Romney and this could be a sign that the former Massachusetts Governor is about to expand his support with conservatives with Thompson out of the race," said Rick Shaftan of Neighborhood Research. "83 percent of Thompson supporters considered themselves conservative — higher than any other candidate."

Shaftan said among respondents who supported Thompson, 30% back Romney, 17% Giuliani, 9% Huckabee and just 4% for McCain. McCain jumps over Giuliani in GOP poll