Special Election Day: All Eyes on the 20th

ALBANY—It’s finally time for voters to decide the contest to replace Kirsten Gillibrand, and things are close.

“It’s a real crapshoot,” Bob Turner, a professor of political science at Skidmore College, told me Monday night.

He predicted a turnout of about 91,000 voters–the figure is derived from the average of previous special elections around the country–or about one fifth of the electorate.

The Times Union published a good list of how to get information on your polling place. The weather forecast is clear and mild.

The latest public poll showed Murphy leading by four points, but internal polls are even closer, I'm told. Tedisco, yesterday, told some reporters at the Capitol that he wasn't nervous.

He started his last-minute blitz on Monday evening, visiting bowling alleys, bars and a paper mill to rally crowds. Staffers sent along progress reports via Twitter, including "we are at Dangos in Glens Falls where Jim is talking to patrons and about to enjoy some buffalo wings."

Murphy started his day greeting employees at the same paper mill Tedisco hit last night. He will vote near his Glens Falls home with his wife. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is in her old district helping Murphy in his final push. Democrats are claiming momentum coming into Election Day.

Both candidates will monitor returns from hotels in Saratoga Springs tonight.

Special Election Day: All Eyes on the 20th