A Poll That Means Less If Bloomberg Is Running Against an Actual Person

There’s a front-page story in the New York Times today about a poll they did with NY1 and Cornell University saying “a majority of New Yorkers say that [Michael Bloomberg] does not deserve another term in office and that they would like to give someone else a chance.”
Which struck me as one of those pieces of data that is perfectly valid and interesting, yet of limited practical use, considering this has been such a sleeper of a race without much indication that anyone or anything will stop Bloomberg from winning a third term.
Does the poll mean that the conventional wisdom is horribly wrong?
The short answer: no.

A Poll That Means Less If Bloomberg Is Running Against an Actual Person