From the Shaftan poll, some regional head to heads

Some interesting regional numbers from the Neighborhood Research poll in gubernatorial race between Democrat Jon Corzine, Republican Christopher Christie, and Independent Christopher Daggett, as compared to Corzine’s 2005 campaign against GOP candidate Douglas Forrester:

  • Corzine leads Christie 58%-20% in Essex and Hudson. Four years ago, Corzine won Essex and Hudson with 75% of the vote. The two counties gave him a plurality of 147,163 votes – nearly two-thirds of his total margin statewide. Essex and Hudson make up 13% of the total statewide vote. Daggett gets 5%.
  • Corzine and Christie are tied with 38% in Bergen and Passaic. Corzine won those two counties with 58% of the vote in 2005. Bergen and Passaic account for 16% of the votes cast statewide. Seven percent of the voters are for Daggett.
  • In Mercer, Middlesex and Union, Christie has a 30%-27% lead. In 2005, Corzine won 60% of the vote in those three counties, which make up 18% of the statewide votes. Daggett is at 9%.
  • In Monmouth and Ocean (16% of the statewide vote), Christie leads 50%-25%. Four years ago, Corzine won 45% of the vote in Monmouth and Ocean. Daggett gets 12%.
  • Christie has a narrow 39%-35% lead in South Jersey, where Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and Salem counties make up 21% of all the votes cast in the last gubernatorial election. In 2005, Corzine won these seven counties with 56% of the vote. Daggett, who has not purchased Philadelphia TV, is at 3%.
  • In Northwest New Jersey, the most Republican part of the state, Christie leads 38%-25% — a number that GOP pollster Rick Shaftan described as “underperforming.” Four years ago, Forrester beat Corzine 59%-41% in Morris, Somerset, Hunterdon, Sussex and Warren counties (16% of statewide ballots cast). Daggett is at 10%.

Neighborhood Research is a Republican polling firm.

From the Shaftan poll, some regional head to heads