A new Rasmussen Reports poll has Republican Christopher Christie with a four point lead over Gov. Jon Corzine, 45%-41%, with 9% for independent Christopher Daggett.
Rasmussen says the race might be all about Daggett, who gained three points over the last week while Christie has lost two and Corzine is down three.
"The race may be even closer than those numbers suggest. When voters are asked their initial choice, 38% name Christie, 38% Corzine, and 16% prefer Daggett. But 57% of Daggett's supporters say they could change their minds before Election Day," Rasmussen said. "That dwarfs the number of swayable Corzine and Christie voters."
Among Corzine supporters, 27% say they might still change their minds, while 20% of Christie supporters say the same.
"A plurality of swayable Daggett supporters and undecided voters indicate they are likely to end up voting for Christie," Rasmussen said.