A new Q poll out this morning shows that Carl Paladino has come within striking distance of the heavily favored Andrew Cuomo, trailing him 49-43.
“Attorney General Andrew Cuomo might be a victim of his own excess. Politicians and polls have depicted him so relentlessly as a sure thing that he might be a victim of the ‘throw the bums out’ attitude that hits incumbents in this angry year,” said Maurice Carroll, director of Quinnipiac Polling Institute.
The reason for the Paladino bounce, Carroll explains is that the poll focuses on likely voters, instead of registered voters. Paladino’s supporters are presumed to be more motivated to go to the polls.
Paladino leads among men, 49-46, and leads big, 77-18 among self-identified Tea Partiers, although only 18 percent identify as members of that movement.
Seven percent of those polled say they are undecided.
Yesterday, Cuomo attributed a poll showing Paladino narrowing the gap to a post-primary bounce.