The View on Primary Day: David Malpass

Senate G.O.P. hopeful David Malpass stood at the same spot Kathleen Rice did yesterday to greet voters coming and going from the LIRR in Penn Station.

The crowd at 9 am is far more sparse than the one at 5 pm, and Malpass, along with Diana Taylor, who joined him for a late canvassing push, spent most of the time chatting to one another.

According to G.O.P. sources, Malpass has been surging a bit as of late, but observers wonder if there is enough time to catch former congressman Joe Dioguardi, who has been leading in polls

Turnout in statewide Republican primaries is typically the reverse of Democratic turnout, meaning that around 55% of the vote hails from upstate, 30% from the suburbs, and 15% from the five boroughs (In Dem primaries, 55% typically comes from NYC, and 15% from upstate.) This year, more of the vote could from the suburbs, and Suffolk County particularly, since there is a highly contested G.O.P congressional primary there.

Still, Malpass said he expects to pull a lot of votes in turnout rich Erie County, where numbers may be a bit inflated thanks to Carl Paladino’s gubernatorial race. And he dismissed recent polls that showed him trailing Dioguardi.

“It’s very hard for pollsters to find the likely voters,” he said. “It’s been very helpful to have the New York Post endorsement and Rudy Giuliani and so many endorsements come through.”

If he gets past the primary, Malpass will face Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand in the general election, who has come on strong after once being thought vulnerable, and who now has raised close to $ 11 million for the campaign.

“She has huge money and name, but she’s voted against New York on so many issues,” Malpass said. “That will be the crux of the campaign. She has been voting for Washington rather than New York.”



The View on Primary Day: David Malpass