14th District fracas

State Sen. Tom Goodwin (R-Hamilton) was a long shot at the beginning of the cycle, in some quarters a presumptive casualty of Gov. Chris Christie’s war with the public sector unions.

But Republican insiders are convinced the 14th District replacement for now-Port Authority boss Bill Baroni can beat Assembylwoman Linda Greenstein (D-Plainsboro).

At the very least, it’s a horse race.

Republicans say they have a poll that shows Goodwin up by 13 points. Democrats say they have a poll that has Greenstein up by 13.

State Sen. Minority Leader Tom Kean (R-Westfield) and Senate President Steve Sweeney (D-West Deptford) both radiate public confidence.

Absent to this point from the 14th District as Goodwin wraps his arms around U.S. Rep. Chris Smith (R-Hamilton) for name ID aid, Christie and his allies feel comfortable at this point dumping the govrnor into the 14th for some 11th hour Goodwin love.

“If we can win in that district, which feaures such a large number of public sector workers, we can win anywhere, with the exception of the most urban districts of New Jersey,” a GOP insider told PolitickerNJ.com.

“If Goodwin wins, that’s a national story.”

14th District fracas