Let the speculation about New York’s 9th District begin.
The Cook Political Report lists Anthony Weiner’s vacated seat as “likely Democratic,” which they define as “not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.”
Weiner’s Republican opponent, Bob Turner, got 40 percent of the vote in 2010, leading some to wonder if Democrats might be in danger of losing the seat. Yesterday, City Councilman Eric Ulrich met with former mayor Rudy Giuliani, who reportedly pledged his support.
The resignation could trigger the second special election in New York this year, and give Republicans an opportunity to win in a heavily Democratic district, after losing in a heavily Republican district last month.
Cook gives the seat a PVI of D+5, which means the district performed 5 points better than the Democratic average.
It’s unclear whether Democrats will be enticed to run for the seat, which is likely to be drawn out of existence in re-districting. Governor Andrew Cuomo could also decline to call a special election, and leave the seat vacant until the regularly-scheduled elections next year.