New Jersey voters say Gov. Chris Christie would have won a presidential contest, but they back his decision not to run 8-1, according to this morning’s Quinnipiac University Poll. Voters seem to celebrate being stuck with him and give him a 58 – 38 percent job approval rating, another “best score ever” this morning, and a boost over his 47 – 46 percent score August 17. |
As in the Monmouth Poll also issued today, women approve of Gov. Christie 51 – 44 percent, a 25-point swing from a negative 37 – 55 percent in the August 17 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University. Men approve 65 – 32 percent, compared to 58 – 36 percent in August. Approval is 88 – 11 percent among Republicans and 65 – 30 percent among independent voters, while Democrats disapprove 67 – 29 percent. |
New Jersey voters say 84 – 10 percent that Christie made the “right decision” not to run for president with strong agreement among every group and in every region. |
But 66 percent of voters, including 76 percent of Republicans, say it is “very likely” or “somewhat likely” that Christie would have won the Republican nomination. |
And 56 percent of voters, including 29 percent of Democrats, say it is “very likely” or “somewhat likely” that Christie would have defeated President Barack Obama in 2012. |
The “Christie-for-President” talk was good for New Jersey, voters say 60 – 24 percent, including 42 – 36 percent among Democrats. And the governor’s out-of-state political travels don’t affect how they think about him, 62 percent say. |
“Overwhelmingly, his New Jersey neighbors thought Gov. Christopher Christie did the right thing in walking away from the presidential race – even though most voters think he could have won both the nomination and the White House,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. |
“They think the governor’s brief run as Republican flavor-of-the-week was good for New Jersey, and most aren’t bothered by his out-of-state travels,” Carroll added. “Trenton won’t be the end of the political line for Gov. Christie, the neighbors predict 73 – 22 percent. |
“And there’s nothing like some national attention to get the folks back home to appreciate you a little more. We don’t know if it’s cause and effect, but Christie’s approval rating, especially among women, is way up.” |
New Jersey voters like Christie as a person 59 – 26 percent, up from 50 – 35 percent in August. Women like him 53 – 29 percent and men like him 65 – 24 percent. |
Jokes about Christie being overweight are in bad taste, voters say 71 – 20 percent, and voters agree with the governor 72 – 24 percent, including 63 – 32 percent among Democrats, that political commentators who raise his weight as a political issue are ignorant. |
New Jersey voters also agree with Christie 74 – 19 percent, including 65 – 29 percent among Republicans, that he doesn’t have the personality to be vice president. |
“Christie says he doesn’t have the personality to be VP, and New Jersey voters agree. But a fair number, 45 percent, say he could be tapped to be the GOP running mate,” Carroll said. |
New Jersey voters approve 32 – 24 percent of Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno, with 44 percent undecided. She is qualified to take over as governor, voters say 34 – 29 percent, with 37 percent undecided. |
“It’s a moot point, at least for now, but the question was out there: How would Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno measure up as governor? Okay, said a third; not okay, said another third; don’t know, said another third,” Carroll said. From October 5 – 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,186 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. |