Incumbent Senator Robert Menendez comfortably leads his likely Republican opponent by ten percentage points, according to the latest poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University’s PublicMind™. If the election were held today 43% of voters would cast a ballot for the Democrat, while 33% say they’d vote for State Senator Joe Kyrillos. Another 23% say they’re not sure whom they would pick.
Democrats pick their party man by 78-2 and Republicans default to theirs by 72-11. Independents split between the two, but with a plurality of 42% unsure.
Still, if the election were held today, Menendez might lose to someone else. Menendez gets just 30% of the vote compared to 37% for someone else. In fact, against someone else, Menendez gets just 44% of Democratic voters, while 23% cross over to vote for his opponent. Independents prefer someone else by 41-16. And Republicans break for someone else by 63-13.
According to poll director Peter Woolley, “Most voters think someone else is a nearly ideal candidate. They say someone else is refreshing, straightforward, honest and represents the true interests of ordinary people.”
Woolley continued, “Someone else is almost always more popular. Someone else is a better dresser. Someone else gets the hot stock tips. Someone else gets promotions and pay raises too. Someone else even wins the lottery.”
Someone else does have a downside. “Someone else seems to have a troubled domestic life,” opined Woolley. “Someone else always leaves dishes in the sink, lets the dog get out, and chips the paint on your brand new car. Someone else is also reputed to have broken up more than a few marriages.”
The poll did not ask about anyone else. “Asking about anyone else would be ridiculous,” said the poll director. “Anyone else may not even be eligible to run.”
A candidate for Senate has to be at least 30 years of age, a citizen of the United States for at least nine years, and a resident of the state.
The Fairleigh Dickinson University poll of 800 registered voters statewide was conducted by telephone using both landlines and cell phones from Mar. 5 through Mar. 11, 2012, and has a margin of error of +/-3.5 percentage points. At random, half of respondents were asked their preference between Menendez and Kyrillos, and half between Menendez and “someone else.”