The Emmys, television’s slightly-less-glitzy answer to the Oscars, are this Sunday, and we have some relatively uneducated guesses as to which of the nominees will bring home an oddly spiky statuette.
Best Actress in a Comedy nominees
Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
Lena Dunham, Girls
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Tina Fey, 30 Rock
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly
Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
This overstuffed category–seven nominees!–excluded two of last year’s nominees as well as the acclaimed and Golden Globe-winning Laura Dern performance on Enlightened, so each person here has a passionate base of support. Even so, it’s not hard to believe that Edie Falco and Tina Fey have already been rewarded amply, and Melissa McCarthy’s moment of big-screen fame after Bridesmaids contributed more to her win last year than any great love for Mike & Molly. That leaves four! Zooey Deschanel’s New Girl performance seems too controversial to gain broad support here, while Lena Dunham will get her reward elsewhere, in the writing category. Amy Poehler’s Parks and Recreation simply doesn’t seem as popular among Emmy voters–it failed to get a Best Comedy nomination–and Julia Louis-Dreyfus has won twice, for two different series. They like her any way they can get her, and she’ll win for being the star of a buzz-y, popular show.
Best Actor in a Comedy nominees
Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
Louis C.K., Louie
Don Cheadle, House of Lies
Jon Cryer, Two and a Half Men
Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory