Should he enter this year’s mayoral race, former Congressman Anthony Weiner would start at a decent position–15 percent–according to a new NBC New York-Marist poll released this evening. In the Democratic primary survey, Council Speaker Christine Quinn continues to lead the pack with 26 percent, with Comptroller John Liu, former Comptroller Bill Thompson and Public Advocate Bill de Blasio narrowly behind Mr. Weiner.
However, the key takeaway might not be the exact percentages, but rather the increased difficulty any candidate would have in reaching the 40-percent threshold to avoid a run-off with Mr. Weiner in the race.
“Right now, a Weiner candidacy attracts double-digit support in the Democratic primary,” pollster Lee Miringoff explained in a statement. “He makes it even more difficult for any of the Democratic contenders to reach the needed forty percent to avoid a run-off.”
Without Mr. Weiner in contention, Ms. Quinn’s support rises to 30 percent, a 7-point tumble from her last standing in February. A de Blasio supporter was quick to attribute the shift to a recent slate of bad press, but, of course, it’s still a long-way until Election Day and in a multi-candidate primary, voters’ choices tend to be relatively volatile.
“To punctuate the fluidity of the Democratic primary contest, only 34% of Democrats who have a candidate preference are firmly committed to that candidate. 30% are somewhat behind their pick while 35% might vote differently,” Marist’s press release noted. “Two percent are unsure.”
Despite a decent base of support, Mr. Weiner still faces a steep hill to climb in recovering his good name after an infamous Twitter scandal claimed his resignation just two years ago. Indeed, a full 50 percent of Democrats said they were not open to his candidacy, challenging him with a potential ceiling of support should he ultimately make the run-off.
Politicker reached out to Mr. Weiner for comment about his polling position. He responded to our attempt at an inside joke, but not at the question at hand.
View the results below:
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