A political insider with deep roots in CD 12 shared thoughts with PolitickerNJ on the 12-plus person mess that is right now the developing Democratic Party Primary in the wake of U.S. Rep. Rush Holt’s announcement that he won’t pursue re-election. The insider spoke on condition of anonymity…
“If Greenstein gets the line in Middlesex, then the only way to beat her is a Mercer candidate with the line and either a deal with Somerset or Union for the line, or no deals and each county has their own candidate,” the insider told PolitickerNJ, referring to state Sen. Linda Greenstein (D-14), who yesterday declared her candidacy. “Mercer, and I believe Middlesex, have 60% rules for convention. A candidate must get 60% of the votes cast to receive the designation. If no candidate gets 60% then no one gets the designation.
(Note: a Mercer insider noted 50% +1 gets the designation and the slogan…60% gets sole possession of the column. If there are multiple candidates, one of the losing candidates would have to secure 40% to be in the column).
“That means that each county must come up with its preferred candidate or else the primary victory most likely goes to the one with the line,” the insider added. “Union and Somerset have such a small portion of district that they don’t matter. Watch for deals between Middlesex and either Somerset or more union on a prefered candidate. A combination of Middlesex and either one would most likely defeat a Mercer only candidate.”