CD3 GOP Polling Memo: MacArthur up by 7 over Belgard

Gov. Chris Christie’s pollster polled the 3rd Congressional District and has Republican Tom MacArthur in the lead over Democrat Aimee Belgard, according to a memo by Adam Geller’s National Research, Inc.

MacArthur leads Belgard 44-37%, according to a telephone survey of 400 likely voters in NJ’s 3rd Congressional district between September 30 and October 2, the memo says.

The margin of error is +/-4.9% at the 95% confidence interval.

The pollster conducted 30% of the surveys with “cell phone only” respondents. By registration, the survey sample is 35% Republican, 36% Democrat and 29% Independent, unaffiliated or “other.”

The basic dynamics of the Republican-leaning district favor MacArthur.

President Barack Obama’s job approval stands at 43%. His disapproval is 53%. In the generic ballot, the Republican leads 41%-38%.

You can read the memo here. CD3 GOP Polling Memo: MacArthur up by 7 over Belgard