Anyone who checked off Hamilton and The Humans in multiple categories on their Tony Awards ballots last year had a very good chance of winning their office pool.
This year, however, the nominations were more spread out, reflecting a season with many beloved shows but no clear favorite. As such, the 71st annual Tony Awards may be the hardest to predict in recent memory.
But there’s no way that will stop us! Here are the Observer’s best guesses for what shows and actors will win on Sunday—by the end of the night we’ll either look like prophets or fools:
Best Musical: Dear Evan Hansen Won
Best Play: Oslo Won
Best Revival of a Musical: Hello Dolly Won
Best Revival of a Play: Jitney Won

Laurie Metcalf in A Doll’s House Part 2. Brigitte Lacombe
Best Leading Actor in a Musical: Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen Won
Best Leading Actress in a Musical: Bette Midler, Hello Dolly Won
Best Leading Actor in a Play: Kevin Kline, Present Laughter Won
Best Leading Actress in a Play: Laurie Metcalf, A Doll’s House Part 2 Won

Mark Ruffalo and Danny DeVito in ‘The Price.’ Joan Marcus
Best Featured Actor in a Musical: Gavin Creel, Hello Dolly Won
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Rachel Bay Jones, Dear Evan Hansen Won
Best Featured Actor in a Play: Danny DeVito, The Price Lost to Michael Aronov, Oslo
Best Featured Actress in a Play: Cynthia Nixon, The Little Foxes Won

A scene from ‘Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812.’ Chad Batka
Best Director of a Musical: Rachel Chavkin, Natasha, Pierre and the Great Comet of 1812 Lost to Christopher Ashley, Come From Away
Best Director of a Play: Ruben Santiago-Hudson, Jitney Lost to Rebecca Taichman, Indecent
Best Original Score: Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, Dear Evan Hansen Won
Best Book of a Musical: Irene Sankoff and David Hein, Come From Away Lost to Steven Levenson, Dear Evan Hansen
The 71st annual Tony Awards air Sunday night at 8 PM on CBS—Kevin Spacey will host. Follow the Observer for continuing coverage.